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Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and...

GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators; Brauer, Michael; Roth, Gregory A.; Aravkin, Aleksandr Y.; Zheng, Peng; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen

Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attr...


Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to...

GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators; Bhattacharjee, Natalia V.; Schumacher, Austin E.; Aali, Amirali; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis

Background: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour...


Global burden of chronic respiratory diseases and risk factors, 1990-2019: an u...

Momtazmanesh, Sara; Moghaddam, Sahar Saeedi; Ghamari, Seyyed-Hadi; Rad, Elaheh Malakan; Rezaei, Negar; Shobeiri, Parnian; Aali, Amirali

Background Updated data on chronic respiratory diseases (CRDs) are vital in their prevention, control, and treatment in the path to achieving the third UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), a one-third reduction in premature mortality from non-communicable diseases by 2030. We provided global, regional, and national estimates of the burden of CRDs and their attributable risks from 1990 to 2019. Methods Using...


Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with proje...

Ong, Kanyin Liane; Stafford, Lauryn K.; McLaughlin, Susan A.; Boyko, Edward J.; Vollset, Stein Emil; Smith, Amanda E.; Dalton, Bronte E.; Duprey, Joe

Diabetes is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, and affects people regardless of country, age group, or sex. Using the most recent evidentiary and analytical framework from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD), we produced location-specific, age-specific, and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence and burden from 1990 to 2021, the proportion of ty...


Global, regional, and national incidence of six major immune-mediated inflammat...

GBD 2019 IMID Collaborators; Wu, Dongze; Jin, Yingzhao; Xing, Yuhan; Abate, Melsew Dagne; Abbasian, Mohammadreza; Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen

Background: The causes for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) are diverse and the incidence trends of IMIDs from specific causes are rarely studied. The study aims to investigate the pattern and trend of IMIDs from 1990 to 2019. Methods: We collected detailed information on six major causes of IMIDs, including asthma, inflammatory bowel disease, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, an...


Global variation in diabetes diagnosis and prevalence based on fasting glucose ...

Zhou, Bin; Sheffer, Kate E.; Bennett, James E.; Gregg, Edward W.; Danaei, Goodarz; Singleton, Rosie K.; Shaw, Jonathan E.; Mishra, Anu

Fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) are both used to diagnose diabetes, but these measurements can identify different people as having diabetes. We used data from 117 population-based studies and quantified, in different world regions, the prevalence of diagnosed diabetes, and whether those who were previously undiagnosed and detected as having diabetes in survey screening, had elevated FPG,...


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