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Global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity, 1990...

GBD 2021 Adult BMI; Ng, Marie; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Lo, Justin; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbas, Nasir; Abbasian, Mohammadreza

Background Overweight and obesity is a global epidemic. Forecasting future trajectories of the epidemic is crucial for providing an evidence base for policy change. In this study, we examine the historical trends of the global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity from 1990 to 2021 and forecast the future trajectories to 2050. Methods Leveraging established methodology from the Glob...


Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and...

GBD 2021 Risk Factors Collaborators; Brauer, Michael; Roth, Gregory A.; Aravkin, Aleksandr Y.; Zheng, Peng; Abate, Kalkidan Hassen

Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attr...


Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to...

GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators; Bhattacharjee, Natalia V.; Schumacher, Austin E.; Aali, Amirali; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis

Background: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour...


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