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Global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity, 1990...

GBD 2021 Adult BMI; Ng, Marie; Gakidou, Emmanuela; Lo, Justin; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbas, Nasir; Abbasian, Mohammadreza

Background Overweight and obesity is a global epidemic. Forecasting future trajectories of the epidemic is crucial for providing an evidence base for policy change. In this study, we examine the historical trends of the global, regional, and national prevalence of adult overweight and obesity from 1990 to 2021 and forecast the future trajectories to 2050. Methods Leveraging established methodology from the Glob...


Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestone...

GBD 2021 Tuberculosis Collaborators; Ledesma, Jorge R.; Ma, Jianing; Zhang, Meixin; Basting, Ann V.L.; Chu, Huong Thi; Vongpradith, Avina

Background: Global evaluations of the progress towards the WHO End TB Strategy 2020 interim milestones on mortality (35% reduction) and incidence (20% reduction) have not been age specific. We aimed to assess global, regional, and national-level burdens of and trends in tuberculosis and its risk factors across five separate age groups, from 1990 to 2021, and to report on age-specific progress between 2015 and 2...


Global fertility in 204 countries and territories, 1950-2021, with forecasts to...

GBD 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators; Bhattacharjee, Natalia V.; Schumacher, Austin E.; Aali, Amirali; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis

Background: Accurate assessments of current and future fertility—including overall trends and changing population age structures across countries and regions—are essential to help plan for the profound social, economic, environmental, and geopolitical challenges that these changes will bring. Estimates and projections of fertility are necessary to inform policies involving resource and health-care needs, labour...


Global, regional, and national burden of disorders affecting the nervous system...

GBD 2021 Nervous System Disorders Collaborators; Steinmetz, Jaimie D.; Seeher, Katrin Maria; Schiess, Nicoline; Nichols, Emma; Cao, Bochen

Background: Disorders affecting the nervous system are diverse and include neurodevelopmental disorders, late-life neurodegeneration, and newly emergent conditions, such as cognitive impairment following COVID-19. Previous publications from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor Study estimated the burden of 15 neurological conditions in 2015 and 2016, but these analyses did not include neurode...


Global, regional, and national incidence of six major immune-mediated inflammat...

GBD 2019 IMID Collaborators; Wu, Dongze; Jin, Yingzhao; Xing, Yuhan; Abate, Melsew Dagne; Abbasian, Mohammadreza; Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen

Background: The causes for immune-mediated inflammatory diseases (IMIDs) are diverse and the incidence trends of IMIDs from specific causes are rarely studied. The study aims to investigate the pattern and trend of IMIDs from 1990 to 2019. Methods: We collected detailed information on six major causes of IMIDs, including asthma, inflammatory bowel disease, multiple sclerosis, rheumatoid arthritis, psoriasis, an...


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