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Global, regional, and national age-specific progress towards the 2020 milestone...

GBD 2021 Tuberculosis Collaborators; Ledesma, Jorge R.; Ma, Jianing; Zhang, Meixin; Basting, Ann V.L.; Chu, Huong Thi; Vongpradith, Avina

Background: Global evaluations of the progress towards the WHO End TB Strategy 2020 interim milestones on mortality (35% reduction) and incidence (20% reduction) have not been age specific. We aimed to assess global, regional, and national-level burdens of and trends in tuberculosis and its risk factors across five separate age groups, from 1990 to 2021, and to report on age-specific progress between 2015 and 2...


Burden of disease scenarios for 204 countries and territories, 2022–2050: a for...

GBD 2021 Forecasting Collaborators; Vollset, Stein Emil; Ababneh, Hazim S.; Abate, Yohannes Habtegiorgis; Abbafati, Cristiana; Abbasgholizadeh, Rouzbeh

Background: Future trends in disease burden and drivers of health are of great interest to policy makers and the public at large. This information can be used for policy and long-term health investment, planning, and prioritisation. We have expanded and improved upon previous forecasts produced as part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) and provide a reference forecast (the...


Global, regional, and national burden of diabetes from 1990 to 2021, with proje...

Ong, Kanyin Liane; Stafford, Lauryn K.; McLaughlin, Susan A.; Boyko, Edward J.; Vollset, Stein Emil; Smith, Amanda E.; Dalton, Bronte E.; Duprey, Joe

Diabetes is one of the leading causes of death and disability worldwide, and affects people regardless of country, age group, or sex. Using the most recent evidentiary and analytical framework from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD), we produced location-specific, age-specific, and sex-specific estimates of diabetes prevalence and burden from 1990 to 2021, the proportion of ty...


The burden of bacterial antimicrobial resistance in the WHO European region in ...

Mestrovic, Tomislav; Robles Aguilar, Gisela; Swetschinski, Lucien R; Ikuta, Kevin S; Gray, Authia P; Davis Weaver, Nicole; Han, Chieh; Wool, Eve E

Background Antimicrobial resistance (AMR) represents one of the most crucial threats to public health and modern health care. Previous studies have identified challenges with estimating the magnitude of the problem and its downstream effect on human health and mortality. To our knowledge, this study presents the most comprehensive set of regional and country-level estimates of AMR burden in the WHO European reg...


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