48 documents found, page 1 of 5
The critical challenge of nonstationarity in ecological modelling
Wang, Hsiao-Hsuan; Alagador, DiogoEcological systems are dynamic and shaped by complex interactions that vary across space, time, and levels of biological organization (Fischer et al., 2025). Therefore, most ecological systems display confounding spatial and temporal trends, such as nonstationarity, at some scale. Nonstationarity (abrupt change in the mean or variance of a system property in space or time) can result from variation in environme...
An interoperable and standardized protocol for reporting systematic conservatio...
Jung, Martin; Adams, Vanessa; Alagador, Diogo; Alvarez-Romero, Jorge G.; Araujo, M.B.; Arponnen, Ann; Beger, Maria; Beher, Jutta; Carvalho, Silvia B.Systematic conservation planning (SCP) is an operational and scientific framework that assists in deciding where, how, and when to implement conservation intervention. Studies using SCP approaches have proliferated due to their immediate relevance for applied conservation. For example, they can help identify cost-effective opportunities for expanding areas under conservation management to achieve high-level pol...
Climate policy beyond ideological trenches
Araújo, Miguel Bastos; Alagador, Diogo; de Sousa, Miguel RochaThe climate crisis demands urgent and effective policy interventions, yet the discourse remains mired in ideological polarization. On one side, some argue that reducing consumption is the primary solution to the climate crisis, while others emphasize that technological innovation is the only viable option. We argue that a convergence of perspectives is needed and propose using the ecological footprint metric as...
Exposure of protected areas in Central America to extreme weather events
González-Trujillo, Juan David; Alagador, Diogo; González-del-Pliego, Pamela; B. Araújo, MiguelCentral America and the Caribbean are regularly battered by megadroughts, heavy rainfall, heat waves, and tropical cyclones. Although 21st-century climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of these extreme weather events (EWEs), their incidence in regional protected areas (PAs) remains poorly explored. We examined historical and projected EWEs across the region based on 32 me...
Expanding European protected areas through rewilding
Araujo, Miguel Bastos; Alagador, DiogoRewilding seeks to address biodiversity loss by restoring trophic interactions and fostering self-regulating ecosystems. Although gaining traction in Europe and North America, the extent to which rewilding can meet post-2020 protected-area targets remains uncertain. We formulated criteria to map suitable areas for rewilding by identifying large tracts of land with minimal human disturbances and the presence of ...
Climate policy beyond ideological trenches
Araújo, Miguel Bastos; Alagador, Diogo; Rocha de Sousa, MiguelThe climate crisis demands urgent and effective policy interventions, yet the discourse remains mired in ideological polarization. On one side, some argue that reducing consumption is the primary solution to the climate crisis, while others emphasize that technological innovation is the only viable option. We argue that a convergence of perspectives is needed and propose using the ecological footprint metric as...
Towards a climate-resilient conservation network in Portugal
Araújo, Miguel Bastos; Alagador, Diogo; Naimi, Babak; Neto, Dora; Rozenfeld, AlejandroIn response to the European Biodiversity Strategy 2030, Portugal is updating its conservation plans to expand the coverage of existing conservation areas from 22 % to 30 %. This expansion is also required to accommodate biodiversity adaptation needs amid climate change. To this end, we have developed a protocol that employs biological data, species distribution models, and optimization techniques within a syste...
Exposure of protected areas in Central America to extreme weather events
González-Trujillo, Juan David; Alagador, Diogo; González-del-Pliego, Pamela; Araújo, Miguel BastosCentral America and the Caribbean are regularly battered by megadroughts, heavy rainfall, heat waves, and tropical cyclones. Although 21st-century climate change is expected to increase the frequency, intensity, and duration of these extreme weather events (EWEs), their incidence in regional protected areas (PAs) remains poorly explored. We examined historical and projected EWEs across the region based on 32 me...
An assessment of the state of conservation planning in Europe
Jung, Martin; Alagador, Diogo; Chapman, Melissa; Hermoso, Virgilio; Kujala, Heini; O'Connor, Louise; Schinegger, Rafaela; Verburg, PeterExpanding and managing current habitat and species protection measures is at the heart of the European biodiversity strategy. A structured approach is needed to gain insights into such issues is systematic conservation planning, which uses techniques from decision theory to identify places and actions that contribute most effectively to policy objectives given a set of constraints. Yet culturally and historical...
Dependence of Europe's most threatened mammals on movement to adapt to climate ...
Alagador, DiogoCurrent rates of climate change and gloomy climate projections confront managers and conservation planners with the need to integrate climate change into already complex decision-making processes. Predicting and prioritizing climatically stable areas and the areas likely to facilitate adaptive species’ range adjustments are important stages in maximizing conservation outcomes and rationalizing future land manag...