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The burden of heat-related mortality attributable to recent human-induced clima...

Vicedo-Cabrera, AM; Scovronick, N; Sera, F; Royé, D; Schneider, R; Tobias, A; Astrom, C; Guo, Y; Honda, Y; Hondula, DM; Abrutzky, R; Tong, S

Climate change affects human health; however, there have been no large-scale, systematic efforts to quantify the heat-related human health impacts that have already occurred due to climate change. Here, we use empirical data from 732 locations in 43 countries to estimate the mortality burdens associated with the additional heat exposure that has resulted from recent human-induced warming, during the period 1991...


Geographical Variations of the Minimum Mortality Temperature at a Global Scale:...

Tobías, A; Hashizume, M; Honda Y; Sera, F; Ng, CFS; Kim, Y; Roye, D; Chung, Y; Dang, TN; Kim, H; Lee, W; Íñiguez, C; Vicedo-Cabrera, A; Abrutzky, R

Background: Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality association, indicating long-term adaptation to local climate. Limited evidence about the geographical variability of the MMT is available at a global scale. Methods: We collected data from 658 communities in 43 countries under different climates. We estimated temperature-mortality associations to deriv...


Ambient carbon monoxide and daily mortality: a global time-series study in 337 ...

Chen, K; Breitner, S; Wolf, K; Stafoggia, M; Sera, F; Vicedo-Cabrera, AM; Guo, Y; Tong, S; Lavigne, E; Matus, P; Valdés, N; Kan, H; Jaakkola, JJK

Background. Epidemiological evidence on short-term association between ambient carbon monoxide (CO) and mortality is inconclusive and limited to single cities, regions, or countries. Generalisation of results from previous studies is hindered by potential publication bias and different modelling approaches. We therefore assessed the association between short-term exposure to ambient CO and daily mortality in a ...


Short term association between ozone and mortality: global two stage time serie...

Vicedo-Cabrera, AM; Sera, F; Liu, C; Armstrong, B; Milojevic, A; Guo, Y; Tong, S; Lavigne, E; Kyselý, J; Urban, A; Orru, H; Indermitte, E; Pascal, M

Objective: To assess short term mortality risks and excess mortality associated with exposure to ozone in several cities worldwide. Design: Two stage time series analysis. Setting: 406 cities in 20 countries, with overlapping periods between 1985 and 2015, collected from the database of Multi-City Multi-Country Collaborative Research Network. Population Deaths for all causes or for external causes only register...


Projections of excess mortality related to diurnal temperature range under clim...

Lee, W; Kim, Y; Sera, F; Gasparrini, A; Park, R; Michelle Choi, H; Prifti, K; Bell, ML; Abrutzky, R; Guo, Y; Tong, S

Background. Various retrospective studies have reported on the increase of mortality risk due to higher diurnal temperature range (DTR). This study projects the effect of DTR on future mortality across 445 communities in 20 countries and regions. Methods. DTR-related mortality risk was estimated on the basis of the historical daily time-series of mortality and weather factors from Jan 1, 1985, to Dec 31, 2015, ...


Predicted temperature-increase-induced global health burden and its regional va...

Lee, JY; Kim, H; Gasparrini, A; Armstrong, B; Bell, ML; Sera, F; Lavigne, E; Abrutzky, R; Tong, S; Coelho, MSZS; Saldiva, PHN; Correa, PM; Ortega, NV

An increase in the global health burden of temperature was projected for 459 locations in 28 countries worldwide under four representative concentration pathway scenarios until 2099. We determined that the amount of temperature increase for each 100 ppm increase in global CO2 concentrations is nearly constant, regardless of climate scenarios. The overall average temperature increase during 2010–2099 is largest ...


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