Made available in DSpace on 2022-04-28T18:59:50Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2013-01-01; Dengue fever is a challenging complex transmissible disease due to its unstable temporal and spatial dynamics. Modeling is a powerful tool to understand disease dynamics and to evaluate costs, benefits and effectiveness of control strategies. In order to assist decision-makers and researchers in the eva...
Esse relatório analisa o risco de importação de COVID-19 para as microrregiões brasileiras decorrente da presença de transmissão sustentada nos dois maiores centros urbanos, Rio de Janeiro e São Paulo e os efeitos de possível ocorrência de epidemias nas microrregiões associados a faixas da população com maior risco de morbidade e letalidade, como idosos, e indicadores de capacidade no SUS, como número de leitos...
Esse relatório atualiza a análise do risco de disseminação da COVID-19 para as microrregiões brasileiras decorrente da presença de transmissão sustentada nos dois maiores centros urbanos, Rio de Janeiro e São Paulo. Faz também a identificação de microrregiões com alta vulnerabilidade social, e maior contingente de população idosa. A combinação de um alto risco de introdução com alta vulnerabilidade constitui em...
The two largest Brazilian cities, Rio de Janeiro and São Paulo, have declared community transmission of COVID-19 on mid March, 2020. In this study we estimated the most vulnerable areas in Brazil for COVID-19, both in terms of risk of introduction and risk of mortality associated with social vulnerability. We explore the most likely routes of spread through the country, from the already exposed cities, accordin...
News spread can be seen as a contagious process in internet media outlets. This process can be transformed into a temporal network which represents the influence between published articles and between media outlets. In this article, we propose a methodology based on the application of natural language analysis of the articles to reconstruct the latent network through which news spread. From the reconstructed ne...
The control of the spread of dengue fever by introduction of the intracellular parasitic bacterium Wolbachia in populations of the vector Aedes aegypti, is presently one of the most promising tools for eliminating dengue, in the absence of an efficient vaccine. The success of this operation requires locally careful planning to determine the adequate number of individuals carrying the wolbachia parasite that nee...
This study describes the development of an integrated dengue alert system (Info Dengue), operating initially in the city of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. It is a project developed as a partnership between academia and the municipal health secretariat. At the beginning of each epidemiological week, the system captures climate time series, dengue case reporting and activity on a social network. After data pre-processin...
Coordenador: Sérgio Werlang
EMAp - Escola de Matemática Aplicada