While renewable electricity is widely recognized as key to achieving climate goals, its broader contribution to a sustainable and just energy transition remains underexplored. Several studies assess the effect of renewables on individual outcomes, but few adopt an integrated approach that captures the multiple dimensions of environmental sustainability, social well-being, and economic development. This study ad...
The Maghreb's power-sector transition hinges on implementing the region's Nationally Determined Contributions and Low-Emission Development Strategies. Using The Integrated Market Allocation Energy Flow Optimization Model system (TIMES) energy-modelling framework, this study traces the evolution of the electricity systems of Tunisia, Morocco, and Algeria from 2018 to 2050, assessing renewable energy targets, dec...
ABSTRACT: The carbon-neutrality target set by the European Union for 2050 drives the increasing relevance of green hydrogen as key player in the energy transition. This work uses the JRC-EU-TIMES energy system model to assess opportunities and challenges for green hydrogen trade from North Africa to Europe, analysing to what extent it can support its decarbonization. An important novelty is addressing uncertain...
ABSTRACT: Energy system models are important tools to guide our understanding of current and future carbon dioxide emissions as well as to inform strategies for emissions reduction. These models offer a vital evidence base that increasingly underpins energy and climate policies in many countries. In light of this important role in policy formation, there is growing interest in, and demands for, energy modellers...
During the three-year EU-funded STRATEGY CCUS project [1] [3] (2019-2022), Carbon Capture, Use and Storage (CCUS) scenarios formulated for eight regions in Southern and Eastern Europe were developed and economically evaluated up to 2050. These regional CCUS scenarios are based on both the performances of local industries in operation and for which CCUS is a relevant mitigation alternative, as well as the region...
ABSTRACT: Extreme weather events (EWE) can affect energy supply, particularly when energy systems are significantly reliant on renewable energy sources, highly vulnerable to climate and weather conditions. We combine observational energy data from EUROSTAT with records of EWE, between 1990 and 2019, to evaluate European power plants capacity factors (CF) responses to those events. Using a statistical compositin...
ABSTRACT: Climate conditions have a significant impact on energy demand and production. The project CLIM2POWER, completed in 2021, aimed to develop a climate service at European scale for the planning of the power infrastructures operations using seasonal forecasts and long-term climate projections. This work presents part of the project, and focus on assessing the climate change impacts on hydropower productio...
RESUMO: Neste webinar apresentamos os resultados de um estudo do LNEG e do CENSE – NOVA para 2050 focando o impacto combinado das alterações climáticas segundo o Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 e a variação expectável na utilização de água para agricultura tanto em Portugal como em Espanha. A análise estuda as bacias do Douro e Tejo e o impacto que se poderá sentir no sistema eletroprodutor nacional co...
ABSTRACT: Climate change may increase water needs for irrigation in southern Europe competing with other water uses, such as hydropower, which may likely be impacted by lower precipitation. Climate change will also potentially affect the variability and availability of other renewable energy resources (solar and wind) and electricity consumption patterns. This work quantifies the effect of competition for water...
ABSTRACT: Climate change will impact renewable resources and electricity demand, usually not jointly considered when designing future decarbonized power systems. This paper assesses how sensitive the Portuguese carbon-neutral power sector is to climate change by 2050 and what are the implications for the formally approved Portuguese Carbon Neutrality Roadmap. The future capacity factors for wind, solar and hydr...