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Quantifying Earth system interactions for sustainable food production via exper...

Chrysafi, Anna; Virkki, Vili; Jalava, Mika; Sandström, Vilma; Piipponen, Johannes; Porkka, Miina; Lade, Steven J.; La Mere, Kelsey; Wang-Erlandsson, Lan

Several safe boundaries of critical Earth system processes have already been crossed due to human perturbations; not accounting for their interactions may further narrow the safe operating space for humanity. Using expert knowledge elicitation, we explored interactions among seven variables representing Earth system processes relevant to food production, identifying many interactions little explored in Earth sy...


Insect occurrence in agricultural land‐uses depends on realized niche and geogr...

Waldock, Conor A.; De Palma, Adriana; Borges, Paulo A. V.; Purvis, Andy

Geographic range size predicts species' responses to land-use change and intensification, but the reason why is not well established because many correlates of larger geographic ranges, such as realized niche breadth, may mediate species' responses to environmental change. Agricultural land uses (hereafter 'agroecosystems') have warm, dry and more variable microclimates than do cooler and wetter mature forests,...


The database of the PREDICTS (Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In C...

Hudson, Lawrence N; Newbold, Tim; Contu, Sara; Hill, Samantha L L; Lysenko, Igor; De Palma, Adriana; Phillips, Helen R P; Alhusseini, Tamera I

The PREDICTS project-Projecting Responses of Ecological Diversity In Changing Terrestrial Systems (www.predicts.org.uk)-has collated from published studies a large, reasonably representative database of comparable samples of biodiversity from multiple sites that differ in the nature or intensity of human impacts relating to land use. We have used this evidence base to develop global and regional statistical mod...


The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity ...

Hudson, Lawrence N.; Newbold, Tim; Contu, Sara; Hill, Samantha L. L.; Lysenko, Igor; De Palma, Adriana; Phillips, Helen R. P.; Senior, Rebecca A.

Biodiversity continues to decline in the face of increasing anthropogenic pressures such as habitat destruction, exploitation, pollution and introduction of alien species. Existing global databases of species' threat status or population time series are dominated by charismatic species. The collation of datasets with broad taxonomic and biogeographic extents, and that support computation of a range of biodivers...


The PREDICTS database: a global database of how local terrestrial biodiversity ...

Hudson, Lawrence N.; Newbold, Tim; Contu, Sara; Hill, Samantha L.L.; Lysenko, Igor; De Palma, Adriana; Phillips, Helen R.P.; Senior, Rebecca A.

Biodiversity continues to decline in the face of increasing anthropogenic pressures such as habitat destruction, exploitation, pollution and introduction of alien species. Existing global databases of species’ threat status or population time series are dominated by charismatic species. The collation of datasets with broad taxonomic and biogeographic extents, and that support computation of a range of biodivers...


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