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Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in...

Schumacher, AE; Kyu, HH; Aali, A; Abbafati, C; Abbas, J; Abbasgholizadeh, R; Abbasi, MA; Abbasian, M; Abd ElHafeez, S; Abdelmasseh, M; Abd Elsalam, S

Background: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides n...


Worldwide trends in underweight and obesity from 1990 to 2022: A pooled analysi...

Robinson, L; Roccaldo, R; Rodrigues, D; Rodriguez Perez, MdC; Rodríguez Villamizar, LA; Rodríguez, AY; Roggenbuck, U; Rohloff, P; Rohner, F

Background: Underweight and obesity are associated with adverse health outcomes throughout the life course. We estimated the individual and combined prevalence of underweight or thinness and obesity, and their changes, from 1990 to 2022 for adults and school-aged children and adolescents in 200 countries and territories. Methods: We used data from 3663 population-based studies with 222 million participants that...


The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in s...

Reiner, RC; Welgan, CA; Troeger, CE; Baumann, MM; Weiss, DJ; Deshpande, A; Blacker, BF; Miller Petrie, MK; Earl, L; Bhatt, S; Abolhassani, H

Despite substantial declines since 2000, lower respiratory infections (LRIs), diarrhoeal diseases, and malaria remain among the leading causes of nonfatal and fatal disease burden for children under 5 years of age (under 5), primarily in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The spatial burden of each of these diseases has been estimated subnationally across SSA, yet no prior analyses have examined the pattern of their com...


Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49...

Sartorius, B; VanderHeide, JD; Yang, M; Goosmann, EA; Hon, J; Haeuser, E; Cork, MA; Perkins, S; Jahagirdar, D; Schaeffer, LE; Serfes, AL; LeGrand, KE

Background. High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and assist with improving the precision and efficiency of targeting efforts. We aimed to assess HIV incidence and HIV mortality for all second-level administrative units across sub-Saharan Africa. Methods. In this modelling study, we devel...


Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomple...

Cork, MA; Henry, NJ; Watson, S; Croneberger, AJ; Baumann, M; Letourneau, ID; Yang, M; Serfes, AL; Abbas, J; Abbasi, N; Abbastabar, H; Abreu, LG

Background: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a public health priority in Latin America. While the burden of HIV is historically concentrated in urban areas and high-risk groups, subnational estimates that cover multiple countries and years are missing. This paucity is partially due to incomplete vital registration (VR) systems and statistical challenges related to estimating mortality rates in areas w...


Mapping inequalities in exclusive breastfeeding in low- and middle-income count...

Bhattacharjee, NV; Schaeffer, LE; Hay, SI; Lu, D; Schipp, MF; Lazzar-Atwood, A; Donkers, KM; Abady, GG; Abd-Allah, F; Abdelalim, A; Abebo, ZH

Exclusive breastfeeding (EBF)-giving infants only breast-milk for the first 6 months of life-is a component of optimal breastfeeding practices effective in preventing child morbidity and mortality. EBF practices are known to vary by population and comparable subnational estimates of prevalence and progress across low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are required for planning policy and interventions. Here w...


Height and body-mass index trajectories of school-aged children and adolescents...

Horimoto, AR; Hormiga, CM; Horta, BL; Houti, L; Howitt, C; Htay, TT; Htet, AS; Htike, MMT; Hu, Y; Huerta, JM; Huhtaniemi, IT; Huidumac Petrescu, C

Background: Comparable global data on health and nutrition of school-aged children and adolescents are scarce. We aimed to estimate age trajectories and time trends in mean height and mean body-mass index (BMI), which measures weight gain beyond what is expected from height gain, for school-aged children and adolescents. Methods: For this pooled analysis, we used a database of cardiometabolic risk factors colla...


Worldwide trends in diabetes since 1980: a pooled analysis of 751 population-ba...

Zhou, B; Lu, Y; Hajifathalian, K; Bentham, J; Di Cesare, M; Danaei, G; Bixby, H; Cowan, MJ; Ali, MK; Taddei, C.; Lo, WC; Ninomiya, T; Noale, M; Noto, D

Background One of the global targets for non-communicable diseases is to halt, by 2025, the rise in the age standardised adult prevalence of diabetes at its 2010 levels. We aimed to estimate worldwide trends in diabetes, how likely it is for countries to achieve the global target, and how changes in prevalence, together with population growth and ageing, are aff ecting the number of adults with diabetes. Method...


Effects of diabetes definition on global surveillance of diabetes prevalence an...

Danaei, G; Fahimi, S; Lu, Y; Zhou, B; Hajifathalian, K; Di Cesare, M; Lo, WC; Reis-Santos, B; Cowan, MJ; Shaw, JE; Bentham, J; Mohammad, K; Mohan, V

Background Diabetes has been defi ned on the basis of diff erent biomarkers, including fasting plasma glucose (FPG), 2-h plasma glucose in an oral glucose tolerance test (2hOGTT), and HbA1c. We assessed the eff ect of diff erent diagnostic defi nitions on both the population prevalence of diabetes and the classifi cation of previously undiagnosed individuals as having diabetes versus not having diabetes in a po...


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