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Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning s...

Lowe, Rachel; Coelho, Caio As; Barcellos, Christovam; Carvalho, Marilia Sá; Catão, Rafael De Castro [UNESP]; Coelho, Giovanini E.; Ramalho, Walter Massa

Made available in DSpace on 2022-04-28T19:03:04Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2016-02-24; Recently, a prototype dengue early warning system was developed to produce probabilistic forecasts of dengue risk three months ahead of the 2014 World Cup in Brazil. Here, we evaluate the categorical dengue forecasts across all microregions in Brazil, using dengue cases reported in June 2014 to validate...

Date: 2022   |   Origin: Oasisbr

Effects of Hot Nights on Mortality in Southern Europe

Royé, Dominic; Sera, Francesco; Tobías, Aurelio; Lowe, Rachel; Gasparrini, Antonio; Pascal, Mathilde; de’Donato, Francesca; Nunes, Baltazar

Background: There is strong evidence concerning the impact of heat stress on mortality, particularly from high temperatures. However, few studies to our knowledge emphasize the importance of hot nights, which may prevent necessary nocturnal rest. Objectives: In this study, we use hot-night duration and excess to predict daily cause-specific mortality in summer, using multiple cities across Southern Europe. Meth...


Evaluating probabilistic dengue risk forecasts from a prototype early warning s...

Lowe, Rachel; Coelho, Caio A. S.; Barcellos, Christovam; Carvalho, Marilia Sa; Catao, Rafael De Castro [UNESP]; Coelho, Giovanini E.

Made available in DSpace on 2018-11-26T15:28:52Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2016-02-24; Seventh Framework Programme; Seventh Framework Programme EUPORIAS project; Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq); Financiadora de Estudos e Projetos; Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado do Rio de Janeiro (FAPERJ); Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (F...

Date: 2018   |   Origin: Oasisbr

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