In response to the European Biodiversity Strategy 2030, Portugal is updating its conservation plans to expand the coverage of existing conservation areas from 22 % to 30 %. This expansion is also required to accommodate biodiversity adaptation needs amid climate change. To this end, we have developed a protocol that employs biological data, species distribution models, and optimization techniques within a syste...
Climate change poses a challenge to the Azores' biodiversity, with consequences that remain unexplored. To shed light on the potential impacts of climate change, we have developed a large ensemble of species distribution models (SDMs) for species found in the coastal marine environments and examined their spatiotemporal turnover and stability. Location: The Azorean archipelago. Taxon: Coastal marine species (ma...
Roost for bats, which are responsible for a wide range of vital ecological and economic services, is crucial. Their availability affects both the geographic occurrence and the diversity of bat communities. Hence, understanding how bats use roosts and variables that influence these patterns could contribute to the development of management plans to ensure their survival. In this study, species distribution model...
It is essential to accurately model species distributions and biodiversity in response to many ecological and conservation challenges. The primary means of reliable decision-making on conservation priority are the data on the distributions and abundance of species. However, finding data that is accurate and reliable for predicting species distribution could be challenging. Data could come from different sources...
The field of distributional ecology has seen considerable recent attention, particularly surrounding the theory, protocols, and tools for Ecological Niche Modeling (ENM) or Species Distribution Modeling (SDM). Such analyses have grown steadily over the past two decades—including a maturation of relevant theory and key concepts—but methodological consensus has yet to be reached. In response, and following an onl...
A longstanding debate exists on whether ecological phenomena should be modelled ‘top-down’ (modelling patterns that arise from mechanisms) or ‘bottom-up’ (modelling mechanisms to generate pattern). Recently, the discussion re-emerged in the context of modelling the spread of SARS-CoV-21. Simply put, the point made by Carlson et al. was that top-down correlative models are inappropriate, whereas bottom-up epidem...
Humans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of-century distributions. We found that climate-induced suit...
Humans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of- century distributions. We found that climate-induced sui...
Made available in DSpace on 2021-06-25T11:12:41Z (GMT). No. of bitstreams: 0 Previous issue date: 2021-05-01; Aim: Global changes will redistribute biodiversity, reshaping ecological interactions and ecosystem processes. The decoupling in the distribution of plants and their mutualistic seed dispersers, for instance, may have overlooked eco-evolutionary effects. How animal-dispersed plants will respond to chang...
Demand for models in biodiversity assessments is rising, but which models are adequate for the task? We propose a set of best-practice standards and detailed guidelines enabling scoring of studies based on species distribution models for use in biodiversity assessments. We reviewed and scored 400 modeling studies over the past 20 years using the proposed standards and guidelines. We detected low model adequacy ...