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Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in...

Schumacher, AE; Kyu, HH; Aali, A; Abbafati, C; Abbas, J; Abbasgholizadeh, R; Abbasi, MA; Abbasian, M; Abd ElHafeez, S; Abdelmasseh, M; Abd Elsalam, S

Background: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides n...


Mapping age- and sex-specific HIV prevalence in adults in sub-Saharan Africa, 2...

Haeuser, E; Serfes, AL; Cork, MA; Yang, M; Abbastabar, H; Abhilash, ES; Adabi, M; Adebayo, OM; Adekanmbi, V; Adeyinka, DA; Afzal, S; Ahinkorah, BO

Background: Human immunodeficiency virus and acquired immune deficiency syndrome (HIV/AIDS) is still among the leading causes of disease burden and mortality in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA), and the world is not on track to meet targets set for ending the epidemic by the Joint United Nations Programme on HIV/AIDS (UNAIDS) and the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Precise HIV burden information is...


The overlapping burden of the three leading causes of disability and death in s...

Reiner, RC; Welgan, CA; Troeger, CE; Baumann, MM; Weiss, DJ; Deshpande, A; Blacker, BF; Miller Petrie, MK; Earl, L; Bhatt, S; Abolhassani, H

Despite substantial declines since 2000, lower respiratory infections (LRIs), diarrhoeal diseases, and malaria remain among the leading causes of nonfatal and fatal disease burden for children under 5 years of age (under 5), primarily in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). The spatial burden of each of these diseases has been estimated subnationally across SSA, yet no prior analyses have examined the pattern of their com...


Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49...

Sartorius, B; VanderHeide, JD; Yang, M; Goosmann, EA; Hon, J; Haeuser, E; Cork, MA; Perkins, S; Jahagirdar, D; Schaeffer, LE; Serfes, AL; LeGrand, KE

Background. High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and assist with improving the precision and efficiency of targeting efforts. We aimed to assess HIV incidence and HIV mortality for all second-level administrative units across sub-Saharan Africa. Methods. In this modelling study, we devel...


Mapping subnational HIV mortality in six Latin American countries with incomple...

Cork, MA; Henry, NJ; Watson, S; Croneberger, AJ; Baumann, M; Letourneau, ID; Yang, M; Serfes, AL; Abbas, J; Abbasi, N; Abbastabar, H; Abreu, LG

Background: Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) remains a public health priority in Latin America. While the burden of HIV is historically concentrated in urban areas and high-risk groups, subnational estimates that cover multiple countries and years are missing. This paucity is partially due to incomplete vital registration (VR) systems and statistical challenges related to estimating mortality rates in areas w...


Anemia prevalence in women of reproductive age in low- and middle-income countr...

Kinyoki, D; Osgood-Zimmerman, AE; Bhattacharjee, NV; Schaeffer, LE; Lazzar-Atwood, A; Lu, D; Ewald, SB; Donkers, KM; Letourneau, ID; Collison, M

Anemia is a globally widespread condition in women and is associated with reduced economic productivity and increased mortality worldwide. Here we map annual 2000–2018 geospatial estimates of anemia prevalence in women of reproductive age (15–49 years) across 82 low- and middle-income countries (LMICs), stratify anemia by severity and aggregate results to policy-relevant administrative and national levels. Addi...


Global, regional, and national age-sex-specific mortality for 282 causes of dea...

Roth, GA; Abate, D; Abate, KH; Abay, SM; Abbafati, C; Abbasi, N; Abbastabar, H; Abd-Allah, L; Abdela, J; Abdelalim, A; Abdollahpour, I; Abdulkader, RS

Background Global development goals increasingly rely on country-specific estimates for benchmarking a nation's progress. To meet this need, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 estimated global, regional, national, and, for selected locations, subnational cause-specific mortality beginning in the year 1980. Here we report an update to that study, making use of newly availa...


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