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All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone...

Chen, Gongbo; Guo, Yuming; Yue, Xu; Xu, Rongbin; Yu,Wenhua; Ye, Tingting; Tong, Shilu; Gasparrini, Antonio; Bell,Michelle L.; Armstrong, Ben

Background: Wildfire activity is an important source of tropospheric ozone (O3) pollution. However, no study to date has systematically examined the associations of wildfire-related O3 exposure with mortality globally. Methods: We did a multicountry two-stage time series analysis. From the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, data on daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory dea...


Global, regional, and national burden of mortality associated with cold spells ...

Gao, Yuan; Huang, Wenzhong; Zhao, Qi; Ryti, Niilo; Armstrong, Ben; Gasparrini, Antonio; Tong, Shilu; Pascal, Mathilde; Urban, Aleš; Zeka, Ariana

Background: Exposure to cold spells is associated with mortality. However, little is known about the global mortality burden of cold spells. Methods: A three-stage meta-analytical method was used to estimate the global mortality burden associated with cold spells by means of a time series dataset of 1960 locations across 59 countries (or regions). First, we fitted the location-specific, cold spell-related morta...


Impacte direto e indireto da Pandemia COVID-19 na mortalidade por todas as caus...

Rodrigues, Ana Paula; Leite, Andreia; Machado, Ausenda; Nunes, Baltazar; Matias Dias, Carlos; Barreto, Marta; Soares, Patricia; Sá, Regina

Introdução: Durante a pandemia de COVID-19 foram observados excessos de mortalidade muito elevados e muito superiores aos observados no período pré-pandemia. No entanto, é menor a evidência sobre o impacte direto (devido à infeção e suas complicações) e indireto (em consequência das medidas não farmacológicas e das alterações no acesso e procura de cuidados de saúde). Este trabalho teve como objetivo colmatar e...


Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A mult...

Yang, Daewon; Hashizume, Masahiro; Tobías, Aurelio; Honda, Yasushi; Roye, Dominic; Oh, Jaemin; Dang, Tran Ngoc; Kim, Yoonhee; Abrutzky, Rosana

Background: The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) or MMT percentile (MMTP) is an indicator of population susceptibility to nonoptimum temperatures. MMT and MMTP change over time; however, the changing directions show region-wide heterogeneity. We examined the heterogeneity of temporal changes in MMT and MMTP across multiple communities and in multiple countries. Methods: Daily time-series data for mortality a...


CLIMAEXTREMO: A New Risk Indicator for the Health Risk to Building Occupants du...

Silva, Carlos Santos; Fernandes, Diana Vieira; Gomes, Ricardo; Costa, Francisco Pires; Pinto, Ligia; Scuri, Sabrina; Brito, André; Nunes, Baltazar

Portugal is the country in Europe where the death rate in winter and summer has the highest correlation with outdoor temperatures. The Portuguese National Institute of Public Health Ricardo Jorge has developed a national warning system for heat waves called ICARO, which has been in place since 1999 (and is the oldest in Europe). However, it presents some limitations, namely, the low spatial resolution (five reg...


Is a tiered restrictions system an effective intervention for COVID-19 control?...

Moniz, Marta; Soares, Patricia; Nunes, Baltazar; Leite, Andreia

Background: In November 2020, similar to other European countries, Portugal implemented a tiered restrictions system to control the COVID-19 pandemic. We aimed to compare the COVID-19 growth rate across tiers to assess the effect of a tiered restrictions system in Portugal, using models with different times between tiers assessment. Our hypothesis was that being in a higher tier brings a faster deceleration in ...


Temperature frequency and mortality: Assessing adaptation to local temperature

Wu, Yao; Wen, Bo; Gasparrini, Antonio; Armstrong, Ben; Sera, Francesco; Lavigne, Eric; Li, Shanshan; Guo, Yuming; Overcenco, Ala; Urban, Aleš

Assessing the association between temperature frequency and mortality can provide insights into human adaptation to local ambient temperatures. We collected daily time-series data on mortality and temperature from 757 locations in 47 countries/regions during 1979–2020. We used a two-stage time series design to assess the association between temperature frequency and all-cause mortality. The results were pooled ...


Effectiveness of XBB.1.5 Monovalent COVID‐19 Vaccines During a Period of XBB.1....

Monge, Susana; Humphreys, James; Nicolay, Nathalie; Braeye, Toon; Van Evercooren, Izaak; Holm Hansen, Christian; Emborg, Hanne‐Dorthe; Sacco, Chiara

Using a common protocol across seven countries in the European Union/European Economic Area, we estimated XBB.1.5 monovalent vaccine effectiveness (VE) against COVID-19 hospitalisation and death in booster-eligible ≥ 65-year-olds, during October–November 2023. We linked electronic records to construct retrospective cohorts and used Cox models to estimate adjusted hazard ratios and derive VE. VE for COVID-19 hos...


Association between area-level walkability and glycated haemoglobin: a Portugue...

Sá, Regina; Roquette, Rita; Rebecchi, Andrea; Matias, Judite; Rocha, Jorge; Buffoli, Maddalena; Capolongo, Stefano; Ribeiro, Ana Isabel; Nunes, Baltazar

Diabetes poses a substantial disease burden, prompting preventive interventions. Physical inactivity, a major risk factor for type 2 diabetes, can potentially be mitigated by enhancing area-level walkability. Despite this, limited population-based studies have investigated the link between walkability and objective diabetes measures. Our study aims to estimate the association between area-level walkability and ...


Relative vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19 hospitalisation in persons aged...

Fontán-Vela, Mario; Kissling, Esther; Nicolay, Nathalie; Braeye, Toon; Van Evercooren, Izaak; Holm Hansen, Christian; Emborg, Hanne-Dorthe

Since 2021, the Vaccine Effectiveness, Burden and Impact Studies of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and influenza (VEBIS) project monitors vaccine effectiveness (VE) in real-world conditions to inform vaccination programmes in the European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA) countries [1]. One project aims to monitor real-time COVID-19 VE using electronic health registries (EHR) in multiple countries, wit...


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