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Temporal trend and spatial analysis of the HIV epidemic in young men who have s...

Seabra, Iaron Leal; Pedroso, Andrey Oeiras; Rodrigues, Taymara Barbosa; Naiff Ferreira, Glenda Roberta; Ferreira, Ana Lucia; Arcêncio, Ricardo Alexandre

After 40 years of its starting, the HIV epidemic in Brazilian Amazon region remains on an increasing trend. The young men who have sex with men (MSM) have been the most impacted by the HIV in the last decade. However, much more than attributing the risk behavior to HIV uniquely to the individual, behaviors are shaped by social determinants of health (SDH). Despite the problem, there is a scarcity of studies eva...


Temporal and Spatial Analysis Techniques as Potential Tools for Combating the H...

Pedroso, Andrey Oeiras; Gomes, Dulce; Lago Sousa, Sara; Naiff Ferreira, Glenda; Ramos, Aline; Polaro, Sandra; Nogueira, Laura; Botelho, Eliã Pinheiro

The main goal of this study was to analyze the HIV epidemic temporally and spatially among young people living in Pará, Brazil, from 2007 to 2018. Methods: For the temporal analysis, we employed an integrated autoregression of moving averages model associated with the seasonal trend using the LOESS decomposition method, which allowed for predictions to be made. In the spatial analysis, the techniques of autocor...


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