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Impacts of land-use and land-cover changes on temperature-related mortality

Orlov, Anton; De Hertog, Steven J.; Havermann, Felix; Guo, Suqi; Manola, Iris; Lejeune, Quentin; Schleussner, Carl-Friedrich; Thiery, Wim

Background: Land-use and land-cover change (LULCC) can substantially affect climate through biogeochemical and biogeophysical effects. Here, we examine the future temperature-mortality impact for two contrasting LULCC scenarios in a background climate of low greenhouse gas concentrations. The first LULCC scenario implies a globally sustainable land use and socioeconomic development (sustainability). In the seco...


Land management and land-cover change have impacts of similar magnitude on surf...

Luyssaert, Sebastiaan; Jammet, Mathilde; Stoy, Paul C.; Estel, Stephan; Pongratz, Julia; Ceschia, Eric; Churkina, Galina; Don, Axel; Erb, KarlHeinz

Anthropogenic changes to land cover (LCC) remain common, but continuing land scarcity promotes the widespread intensification of land management changes (LMC) to better satisfy societal demand for food, fibre, fuel and shelter1. The biophysical effects of LCC on surface climate are largely understood2,3,4,5, particularly for the boreal6 and tropical zones7, but fewer studies have investigated the biophysical co...


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