Objective: to analyze the evolution of mortality due to COVID-19 in the period from January 2020 to February 2021 in Brazil. Methods. Data on all deaths were obtained from the transparency portal, continuously fed by the country's civil registry offices. It was considered death by COVID-19 when there were citations of COVID-19, coronavirus or new coronavirus in the cause of death. Mortality rates for COVID-19 w...
Objectives: to analyze the impact of social distance policies on the spread of COVID-19 and the need for beds in intensive care units. Methods: based on a dynamic transition compartmental model and Monte Carlo simulations, propagation scenarios were built according to the level of adherence of the social distance measures in the context of the Federal District, Brazil. The parameter values were based on offic...
Objetivo: Construir cenários e analisar o impacto das políticas de distanciamento social na propagação da COVID-19 e a necessidade de leitos de unidades de terapia intensiva (UTI). Métodos: Sobre modelo compartimental de transição dinâmica e simulações de Monte Carlo, construíram-se três cenários de propagação conforme o nível de adesão às medidas de distanciamento social no Distrito Federal, Brasil. Os valores...