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Estimated number of lives directly saved by COVID-19 vaccination programmes in ...

Meslé, Margaux M.I.; Brown, Jeremy; Mook, Piers; Katz, Mark A.; Hagan, José; Pastore, Roberta; Benka, Bernhard; Redlberger-Fritz, Monika

Background: By March, 2023, 54 countries, areas, and territories (hereafter CAT) in the WHO European Region had reported more than 2·2 million COVID-19-related deaths to the WHO Regional Office for Europe. Here, we estimated how many lives were directly saved by vaccinating adults in the WHO European Region from December, 2020, to March, 2023. Methods: In this retrospective surveillance study, we estimated the ...


Excess all-cause mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe – preliminary...

Vestergaard, Lasse S.; Nielsen, Jens; Richter, Lukas; Schmid, Daniela; Bustos, Natalia; Braeye, Toon; Denissov, Gleb; Veideman, Tatjana; Luomala, Oskari

A remarkable excess mortality has coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe. We present preliminary pooled estimates of all-cause mortality for 24 European countries/federal states participating in the European monitoring of excess mortality for public health action (EuroMOMO) network, for the period March–April 2020. Excess mortality particularly affected  ≥ 65 year olds (91% of all excess deaths), but al...


FluHMM: a simple and flexible Bayesian algorithm for sentinel influenza surveil...

Lytras, Theodore; Gkolfinopoulou, Kassiani; Bonovas, Stefanos; Nunes, Baltazar

Timely detection of the seasonal influenza epidemic is important for public health action. We introduce FluHMM, a simple but flexible Bayesian algorithm to detect and monitor the seasonal epidemic on sentinel surveillance data. No comparable historical data are required for its use. FluHMM segments a typical influenza surveillance season into five distinct phases with clear interpretation (pre-epidemic, epidemi...


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