2 documents found, page 1 of 1
Fighting the coronavirus: the window of opportunity for non-pharmacological int...
Vasconcelos, Giovani L.; Macêdo, Antônio M. S.; Ospina, Raydonal; Almeida, Francisco A. G.; Duarte-Filho, Gerson C.; Souza, Inês C. L.In this technical note, we present a brief discussion of the main results reported in our paper “Modelling fatality curves of COVID-19 and the effectiveness of intervention strategies”, MedRxiv/2020/051557 (DOI:10.1101/2020.04.02.20051557). In that paper, we applied the Richards growth model (RGM) to describe the fatality curves of the COVID-19 disease for countries that were, up to April 1, 2020, near the end ...
Germany's 'coronavirus anomaly': Statistical evidence that early mass testing l...
Vasconcelos, Giovani L.; Macêdo, Antônio M. S.; Souza, Inês C. L.; Ospina, Raydonal; Almeida, Francisco A. G.; Duarte-Filho , Gerson C.; Holm, ChristianIn this note, we present a statistical analysis of the mortality rates of COVID-19 for several selected European countries. We compare the countries' mortality rates with their respective number of tests as a function of the time since the first death. Our analysis shows that countries that either delayed mass testing, such as Italy, or have not fully adopted it, such as France and the UK, have had much higher ...