28 documents found, page 1 of 3
Rapid climate action is needed: comparing heat vs. COVID-19-related mortality
Batibeniz, Fulden; Seneviratne, Sonia I.; Jha, Srinidhi; Ribeiro, Andreia; Suarez Gutierrez, Laura; Raible, Christoph C.; Malhotra, Avni; Armstrong, BenThe impacts of climate change on human health are often underestimated or perceived to be in a distant future. Here, we present the projected impacts of climate change in the context of COVID-19, a recent human health catastrophe. We compared projected heat mortality with COVID-19 deaths in 38 cities worldwide and found that in half of these cities, heat-related deaths could exceed annual COVID-19 deaths in les...
Global excess deaths associated with heatwaves in 2023 and the contribution of ...
Hundessa, Samuel; Huang, Wenzhong; Xu, Rongbin; Yang, Zhengyu; Zhao, Qi; Gasparrini, Antonio; Armstrong, Ben; Bell, Michelle L.; Huber, VeronikaAbstract: An unprecedented heatwave swept the globe in 2023, marking it one of the hottest years on record and raising concerns about its health impacts. However, a comprehensive assessment of the heatwave-related mortality and its attribution to human-induced climate change remains lacking. We aim to address this gap by analyzing high-resolution climate and mortality data from 2,013 locations across 67 countri...
The effectiveness of heat prevention plans in reducing heat-related mortality a...
Urban, Aleš; Huber, Veronika; Henry, Salomé; Plaza, Nuria Pilar; Tušlová, Lucie; Dasgupta, Shouro; Masselot, Pierre; Cvijanovic, Ivana; Mistry, MalcolmHeat-health warning systems and action plans, referred to as heat prevention plans (HPPs), are key public health interventions aimed at reducing heat-related mortality. Despite their importance, prior assessments of their effectiveness have yielded inconsistent results. The objective of this study is to systematically assess the effectiveness of HPPs in reducing heat-related mortality risk across Europe. We ana...
Short-term association between hot nights and mortality: a multicountry analysi...
Royé, Dominic; Sera, Francesco; Tobías, Aurelio; Hashizume, Masahiro; Honda, Yasushi; Kim, Ho; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Tong, Shilu; Lavigne, EricBackground: The rise in hot nights over recent decades and projections of further increases due to climate change underscores the critical need to understand their impact. This knowledge is essential for shaping public health strategies and guiding adaptation efforts. Despite their significance, research on the implications of hot nights remains limited. Objective: This study estimated the association between h...
Temporal change in minimum mortality temperature under changing climate: A mult...
Yang, Daewon; Hashizume, Masahiro; Tobías, Aurelio; Honda, Yasushi; Roye, Dominic; Oh, Jaemin; Dang, Tran Ngoc; Kim, Yoonhee; Abrutzky, RosanaBackground: The minimum mortality temperature (MMT) or MMT percentile (MMTP) is an indicator of population susceptibility to nonoptimum temperatures. MMT and MMTP change over time; however, the changing directions show region-wide heterogeneity. We examined the heterogeneity of temporal changes in MMT and MMTP across multiple communities and in multiple countries. Methods: Daily time-series data for mortality a...
Temperature frequency and mortality: Assessing adaptation to local temperature
Wu, Yao; Wen, Bo; Gasparrini, Antonio; Armstrong, Ben; Sera, Francesco; Lavigne, Eric; Li, Shanshan; Guo, Yuming; Overcenco, Ala; Urban, AlešAssessing the association between temperature frequency and mortality can provide insights into human adaptation to local ambient temperatures. We collected daily time-series data on mortality and temperature from 757 locations in 47 countries/regions during 1979–2020. We used a two-stage time series design to assess the association between temperature frequency and all-cause mortality. The results were pooled ...
Temporal variations in the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on cardi...
Schwarz, Maximilian; Peters, Annette; Stafoggia, Massimo; de'Donato, Francesca; Sera, Francesco; Bell, Michelle L; Guo, Yuming; Honda, YasushiBackground: Ambient air pollution, including particulate matter (such as PM10 and PM2·5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), has been linked to increases in mortality. Whether populations' vulnerability to these pollutants has changed over time is unclear, and studies on this topic do not include multicountry analysis. We evaluated whether changes in exposure to air pollutants were associated with changes in mortality ...
Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different...
Chen, Kai; de Schrijver, Evan; Sivaraj, Sidharth; Sera, Francesco; Scovronick, Noah; Jiang, Leiwen; Roye, Dominic; Lavigne, Eric; Kyselý, JanOlder adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively; amon...
Seasonality of mortality under climate change: a multicountry projection study
Madaniyazi, Lina; Armstrong, Ben; Tobias, Aurelio; Mistry, Malcolm N.; Bell, Michelle L.; Urban, Aleš; Kyselý, Jan; Ryti, Niilo; Cvijanovic, IvanaBackground: Climate change can directly impact temperature-related excess deaths and might subsequently change the seasonal variation in mortality. In this study, we aimed to provide a systematic and comprehensive assessment of potential future changes in the seasonal variation, or seasonality, of mortality across different climate zones. Methods: In this modelling study, we collected daily time series of mean ...
All-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortality and wildfire-related ozone...
Chen, Gongbo; Guo, Yuming; Yue, Xu; Xu, Rongbin; Yu,Wenhua; Ye, Tingting; Tong, Shilu; Gasparrini, Antonio; Bell,Michelle L.; Armstrong, BenBackground: Wildfire activity is an important source of tropospheric ozone (O3) pollution. However, no study to date has systematically examined the associations of wildfire-related O3 exposure with mortality globally. Methods: We did a multicountry two-stage time series analysis. From the Multi-City Multi-Country (MCC) Collaborative Research Network, data on daily all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory dea...