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Extreme Temperatures and Stroke Mortality: Evidence From a Multi-Country Analysis

Alahmad, Barrak; Khraishah, Haitham; Kamineni, Meghana; Royé, Dominic; Papatheodorou, Stefania I.; Vicedo-Cabrera, Ana Maria; Guo, Yuming; Lavigne, Eric

Background: Extreme temperatures contribute significantly to global mortality. While previous studies on temperature and stroke-specific outcomes presented conflicting results, these studies were predominantly limited to single-city or single-country analyses. Their findings are difficult to synthesize due to variations in methodologies and exposure definitions. Methods: Within the Multi-Country Multi-City Netw...


Impact of population aging on future temperature-related mortality at different...

Chen, Kai; de Schrijver, Evan; Sivaraj, Sidharth; Sera, Francesco; Scovronick, Noah; Jiang, Leiwen; Roye, Dominic; Lavigne, Eric; Kyselý, Jan

Older adults are generally amongst the most vulnerable to heat and cold. While temperature-related health impacts are projected to increase with global warming, the influence of population aging on these trends remains unclear. Here we show that at 1.5 °C, 2 °C, and 3 °C of global warming, heat-related mortality in 800 locations across 50 countries/areas will increase by 0.5%, 1.0%, and 2.5%, respectively; amon...


Global short-term mortality risk and burden associated with tropical cyclones f...

Huang, Wenzhong; Li, Shanshan; Vogt, Thomas; Xu, Rongbin; Tong, Shilu; Molina, Tomás; Masselot, Pierre; Gasparrini, Antonio; Armstrong, Ben

Background: The global spatiotemporal pattern of mortality risk and burden attributable to tropical cyclones is unclear. We aimed to evaluate the global short-term mortality risk and burden associated with tropical cyclones from 1980 to 2019. Methods: The wind speed associated with cyclones from 1980 to 2019 was estimated globally through a parametric wind field model at a grid resolution of 0·5° × 0·5°. A tota...


Fluctuating temperature modifies heat-mortality association around the globe

Wu, Yao; Wen, Bo; Li, Shanshan; Gasparrini, Antonio; Tong, Shilu; Overcenco, Ala; Urban, Aleš; Schneider, Alexandra; Entezari, Alireza

Studies have investigated the effects of heat and temperature variability (TV) on mortality. However, few assessed whether TV modifies the heat-mortality association. Data on daily temperature and mortality in the warm season were collected from 717 locations across 36 countries. TV was calculated as the standard deviation of the average of the same and previous days' minimum and maximum temperatures. We used l...


Comparison of weather station and climate reanalysis data for modelling tempera...

Mistry, Malcolm N.; Schneider, Rochelle; Masselot, Pierre; Royé, Dominic; Armstrong, Ben; Kyselý, Jan; Orru, Hans; Sera, Francesco; Tong, Shilu

Epidemiological analyses of health risks associated with non-optimal temperature are traditionally based on ground observations from weather stations that offer limited spatial and temporal coverage. Climate reanalysis represents an alternative option that provide complete spatio-temporal exposure coverage, and yet are to be systematically explored for their suitability in assessing temperature-related health r...


Mortality risk attributable to wildfire-related PM2·5 pollution: a global time ...

Chen, Gongbo; Guo, Yuming; Yue, Xu; Tong, Shilu; Gasparrini, Antonio; Bell, Michelle L.; Armstrong, Ben; Schwartz, Joel; Jaakkola, Jouni J.K.

Background: Many regions of the world are now facing more frequent and unprecedentedly large wildfires. However, the association between wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality has not been well characterised. We aimed to comprehensively assess the association between short-term exposure to wildfire-related PM2·5 and mortality across various regions of the world. Methods: For this time series study, data on daily ...


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