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Developing epidemiological preparedness for a plant disease invasion: modelling...

Ellis, John; Lázaro, Elena; Zarcos Duarte, Beatriz; Magalhães, Tomás Thormann Abranches de; Duarte, Amilcar; Benhadi‐Marín, Jacinto

Societal Impact Statement Huanglongbing (HLB) is a bacterial disease of citrus that has significantly impacted Brazil and the United States, although citrus production in the Mediterranean Basin remains unaffected. By developing a mathematical model of spread in Spain, we tested surveillance and control strategies before any future HLB entry in the EU. We found while some citrus production might be maintained b...


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