Autor(es): Santos, Carlos ; Couto, Gualter ; Pimentel, Pedro
Data: 2006
Identificador Persistente: http://hdl.handle.net/10400.3/1148
Origem: Repositório da Universidade dos Açores
Assunto(s): Accuracy Comparisons; Time Series; Tourism Forecasting; Accuracy Comparisons; Accuracy Comparisons; Time Series; Time Series; Tourism Forecasting; Tourism Forecasting
This paper concentrates on the application of various time series methods in order to forecast the monthly overnights in Azorean hotels. The aim is to find out the degree to which the forecast of overnights segmented by country of origin, presents smaller errors when compared with the forecast of the total overnights in the Region. The appropriate forecasting method by a tourist’s country of origin, is also analyzed so that potential optimal combinations of separate forecasts can be found in order to forecast the total overnights in Azores.
