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Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis

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Resumo:Political debate - in its essence - carries a robust emotional charge, and social media have become a vast arena for voters to disseminate and discuss the ideas proposed by candidates. The Brazilian presidential elections of 2018 were marked by a high level of polarization, making the discussion of the candidates’ ideas an ideological battlefield, full of accusations and verbal aggression, creating an excellent source for sentiment analysis. In this paper, we analyze the emotions of the tweets posted about the presidential candidates of Brazil on Twitter, so that it was possible to identify the emotional profile of the adherents of each of the leading candidates, and thus to discern which emotions had the strongest effects upon the election results. Also, we created a model using sentiment analysis and machine learning, which predicted with a correlation of 0.90 the final result of the election.
Autores principais:Martins, Ricardo
Outros Autores:Almeida, J. J.; Henriques, Pedro Rangel; Novais, Paulo
Assunto:Emotion analysis Machine learning Natural processing language Sentiment analysis Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
Ano:2020
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:comunicação em conferência
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade do Minho
Idioma:inglês
Origem:RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
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author Martins, Ricardo
author2 Almeida, J. J.
Henriques, Pedro Rangel
Novais, Paulo
author2_role author
author
author
author_facet Martins, Ricardo
Almeida, J. J.
Henriques, Pedro Rangel
Novais, Paulo
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Martins, Ricardo\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Almeida, J. J.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Henriques, Pedro Rangel\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Novais, Paulo\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Martins, Ricardo
Almeida, J. J.
Henriques, Pedro Rangel
Novais, Paulo
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2020-07-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2021-01-14T12:15:30Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2021-01-14T12:15:30Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Emotion analysis
Machine learning
Natural processing language
Sentiment analysis
Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Martins, Ricardo
Almeida, J. J.
Henriques, Pedro Rangel
Novais, Paulo
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2020-07-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2021-01-14T12:15:30Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2021-01-14T12:15:30Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/1822/69230
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Emotion analysis
Machine learning
Natural processing language
Sentiment analysis
Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
dc.title.fl_str_mv Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794
description Political debate - in its essence - carries a robust emotional charge, and social media have become a vast arena for voters to disseminate and discuss the ideas proposed by candidates. The Brazilian presidential elections of 2018 were marked by a high level of polarization, making the discussion of the candidates’ ideas an ideological battlefield, full of accusations and verbal aggression, creating an excellent source for sentiment analysis. In this paper, we analyze the emotions of the tweets posted about the presidential candidates of Brazil on Twitter, so that it was possible to identify the emotional profile of the adherents of each of the leading candidates, and thus to discern which emotions had the strongest effects upon the election results. Also, we created a model using sentiment analysis and machine learning, which predicted with a correlation of 0.90 the final result of the election.
dirty 0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format conferencePaper
fulltext.url.fl_str_mv https://repositorium.uminho.pt/bitstreams/b014d943-4019-4306-ae54-88afc579c828/download
id rum_0dfbd1d78d2bcdfe1b2828eadf807b63
identifier.url.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/1822/69230
instacron_str repositorium
institution Universidade do Minho
instname_str Universidade do Minho
language eng
network_acronym_str rum
network_name_str RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorium.uminho.pt:1822/69230
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:repositorium
person_str_mv Martins, Ricardo
Almeida, J. J.
Henriques, Pedro Rangel
Novais, Paulo
publishDate 2020
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer
reponame_str RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
repository_id_str urn:repositoryAcronym:rum
service_str_mv urn:repositoryAcronym:rum
spelling engSpringerporPolitical debate - in its essence - carries a robust emotional charge, and social media have become a vast arena for voters to disseminate and discuss the ideas proposed by candidates. The Brazilian presidential elections of 2018 were marked by a high level of polarization, making the discussion of the candidates’ ideas an ideological battlefield, full of accusations and verbal aggression, creating an excellent source for sentiment analysis. In this paper, we analyze the emotions of the tweets posted about the presidential candidates of Brazil on Twitter, so that it was possible to identify the emotional profile of the adherents of each of the leading candidates, and thus to discern which emotions had the strongest effects upon the election results. Also, we created a model using sentiment analysis and machine learning, which predicted with a correlation of 0.90 the final result of the election.application/pdfporPredicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysisMartins, RicardoAlmeida, J. J.Henriques, Pedro RangelNovais, PauloHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRepositóriUM - Universidade do Minhoe-mailmailto:repositorium@usdb.uminho.ptrepositorium@usdb.uminho.ptCITATIONMartins, R., Almeida, J., Henriques, P., & Novais, P. (2020, April). Predicting an Election’s Outcome Using Sentiment Analysis. In World Conference on Information Systems and Technologies (pp. 134-143). SpringerISBNIsPartOf978-3-030-45687-0ISSNIsPartOf2194-5357DOIIsPartOf10.1007/978-3-030-45688-7_14EISBNIsPartOf978-3-030-45688-72021-01-14T12:15:30Z2020-07-012020-12-30T20:08:45Z2020-07-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttps://hdl.handle.net/1822/69230http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessEmotion analysisMachine learningNatural processing languageSentiment analysishttp://www.oecd.org/science/inno/38235147.pdfFields of Science and Technology (FOS)Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação175670 bytesother research producthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794conference paperhttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://repositorium.uminho.pt/bitstreams/b014d943-4019-4306-ae54-88afc579c828/download
spellingShingle Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
Martins, Ricardo
Emotion analysis
Machine learning
Natural processing language
Sentiment analysis
Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Emotion analysis
Machine learning
Natural processing language
Sentiment analysis
subject.other.fl_str_mv Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
title Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
title_full Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
title_fullStr Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
title_full_unstemmed Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
title_short Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
title_sort Predicting an election’s outcome using sentiment analysis
topic Emotion analysis
Machine learning
Natural processing language
Sentiment analysis
Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
topic_facet Emotion analysis
Machine learning
Natural processing language
Sentiment analysis
Ciências Naturais::Ciências da Computação e da Informação
url https://hdl.handle.net/1822/69230
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