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Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks

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Resumo:School dropout in higher education is an academic, economic, political and social problem, which has a great impact and is difficult to resolve. In order to mitigate this problem, this paper proposes a predictive model of classification, based on artificial neural networks, which allows the prediction, at the end of the first school year, of the propensity that the computer engineering students of a polytechnic institute in the interior of the country have for dropout. A differentiating aspect of this study is that it considers the classifications obtained in the course units of the first academic year as potential predictors of dropout. A new approach in the process of selecting the factors that foreshadow the dropout allowed isolating 12 explanatory variables, which guaranteed a good predictive capacity of the model (AUC = 78.5%). These variables reveal fundamental aspects for the adoption of management strategies that may be more assertive in the combat to academic dropout.
Autores principais:Camelo, Diogo
Outros Autores:Santos, João C.C.; Martins, Maria Prudência; Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
Assunto:Educational data mining Artificial neural network Academic dropout Predictive model
Ano:2021
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:comunicação em conferência
Tipo de acesso:acesso restrito
Instituição associada:Instituto Politécnico de Bragança
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Biblioteca Digital do IPB
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author Camelo, Diogo
author2 Santos, João C.C.
Martins, Maria Prudência
Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
author2_role author
author
author
author_facet Camelo, Diogo
Santos, João C.C.
Martins, Maria Prudência
Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Biblioteca Digital do IPB
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Camelo, Diogo\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Santos, João C.C.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Martins, Maria Prudência\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0001-9281-7138\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Gouveia, Paulo D.F.\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0003-3049-6230\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Biblioteca Digital do IPB
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Camelo, Diogo
Santos, João C.C.
Martins, Maria Prudência
Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2021-01-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2023-02-17T09:52:37Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2023-02-17T09:52:37Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Educational data mining
Artificial neural network
Academic dropout
Predictive model
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Biblioteca Digital do IPB
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Camelo, Diogo
Santos, João C.C.
Martins, Maria Prudência
Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2021-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2023-02-17T09:52:37Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2023-02-17T09:52:37Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10198/27023
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer International Publishing
dc.rights.cclincense.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Educational data mining
Artificial neural network
Academic dropout
Predictive model
dc.title.fl_str_mv Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794
description School dropout in higher education is an academic, economic, political and social problem, which has a great impact and is difficult to resolve. In order to mitigate this problem, this paper proposes a predictive model of classification, based on artificial neural networks, which allows the prediction, at the end of the first school year, of the propensity that the computer engineering students of a polytechnic institute in the interior of the country have for dropout. A differentiating aspect of this study is that it considers the classifications obtained in the course units of the first academic year as potential predictors of dropout. A new approach in the process of selecting the factors that foreshadow the dropout allowed isolating 12 explanatory variables, which guaranteed a good predictive capacity of the model (AUC = 78.5%). These variables reveal fundamental aspects for the adoption of management strategies that may be more assertive in the combat to academic dropout.
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funding.funder.identifier_str_mv http://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871
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funding.funder.name_str_mv Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia
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6817 - DCRRNI ID
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oai_identifier_str oai:bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt:10198/27023
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:ipb
person_str_mv Camelo, Diogo
Santos, João C.C.
Martins, Maria Prudência
Martins, Maria Prudência
https://www.ciencia-id.pt/4C16-9EE4-B35D
4C16-9EE4-B35D
http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9281-7138
0000-0001-9281-7138
Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
Gouveia, Paulo D.F.
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publishDate 2021
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Springer International Publishing
reponame_str Biblioteca Digital do IPB
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spelling engSpringer International Publishingpt_PTSchool dropout in higher education is an academic, economic, political and social problem, which has a great impact and is difficult to resolve. In order to mitigate this problem, this paper proposes a predictive model of classification, based on artificial neural networks, which allows the prediction, at the end of the first school year, of the propensity that the computer engineering students of a polytechnic institute in the interior of the country have for dropout. A differentiating aspect of this study is that it considers the classifications obtained in the course units of the first academic year as potential predictors of dropout. A new approach in the process of selecting the factors that foreshadow the dropout allowed isolating 12 explanatory variables, which guaranteed a good predictive capacity of the model (AUC = 78.5%). These variables reveal fundamental aspects for the adoption of management strategies that may be more assertive in the combat to academic dropout.application/pdfpt_PTModelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networksCamelo, DiogoSantos, João C.C.PersonalMartins, Maria PrudênciaDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/43e52986-3314-423b-a1b3-f634412c58a1DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/43e52986-3314-423b-a1b3-f634412c58a1MartinsMaria PrudênciaCiência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.pt4C16-9EE4-B35DORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0001-9281-7138PersonalGouveia, Paulo D.F.DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/41c37437-90c4-4e40-893b-44fe4ae1f159DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/41c37437-90c4-4e40-893b-44fe4ae1f159GouveiaPaulo D.F.ORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0003-3049-6230Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com20433578000HostingInstitutionOrganizationalBiblioteca Digital do IPBe-mailmailto:dspace@ipb.ptdspace@ipb.ptISBNIsPartOf978-3-030-72650-8DOIIsPartOf10.1007/978-3-030-72651-5_142023-02-17T09:52:37Z20212021-01-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/27023http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ecrestricted accessEducational data miningArtificial neural networkAcademic dropoutPredictive model421460 bytesFundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaElectromechatronic Systems Research Centre6817 - DCRRNI IDCrossref Funder IDhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871Fundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaElectromechatronic Systems Research Centre6817 - DCRRNI IDCrossref Funder IDhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871other research producthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794conference paper2021http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ecapplication/pdffulltexthttps://bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt/bitstreams/c347e9f3-ea23-4123-8f30-cb9405332a82/downloadTrends and applications in information systems and technologies1366141150
spellingShingle Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
Camelo, Diogo
Educational data mining
Artificial neural network
Academic dropout
Predictive model
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Educational data mining
Artificial neural network
Academic dropout
Predictive model
title Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
title_full Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
title_fullStr Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
title_full_unstemmed Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
title_short Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
title_sort Modelling academic dropout in computer engineering using arti cial neural networks
topic Educational data mining
Artificial neural network
Academic dropout
Predictive model
topic_facet Educational data mining
Artificial neural network
Academic dropout
Predictive model
url http://hdl.handle.net/10198/27023
visible 1