Publicação
Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal)
| Resumo: | Climate change is of major relevance to wine production as most of the wine-growing regions of the world, in particular the Douro region, are located within relatively narrow latitudinal bands with average growing season temperatures limited to 13–21◦C. This study focuses on the incidence of climate variables and indices that are relevant both for climate change detection and for grape production with particular emphasis on extreme events (e.g. cold waves, storms, heat waves). Dynamical downscaling ofMPI-ESM-LR global data forced with RCP8.5 climatic scenario is performed with the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to a regional scale including the Douro valley of Portugal for recent-past (1986–2005) and future periods (2046– 2065; 2081–2100). The number, duration and intensity of events are superimposed over critical phenological phases of the vine (dormancy, bud burst, flowering, v´eraison, and maturity) in order to assess their positive or negative implications on wine production in the region. An assessment on the statistical significance of climatic indices, their differences between the recent-past and the future scenarios and the potential impact on wine production is performed. Preliminary results indicate increased climatic stress on the Douro region wine production and increased vulnerability of its vine varieties. These results will provide evidence for future strategies aimed to preserve the high-quality wines in the region and their typicality in a sustainable way. |
|---|---|
| Autores principais: | Blanco-Ward, Daniel |
| Outros Autores: | Monteiro, Alexandra; Lopes, Myriam; Borrego, Carlos S.; Silveira, Carlos; Viceto, Carolina; Rocha, Alfredo; Ribeiro, A.C.; Andrade, João Verdial; Feliciano, Manuel; Castro, João Paulo; Barreales, David; Carlos, Cristina; Peixoto, Carlos; Miranda, Ana Isabel |
| Ano: | 2017 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | comunicação em conferência |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Instituto Politécnico de Bragança |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
| _version_ | 1867173342991089664 |
|---|---|
| author | Blanco-Ward, Daniel |
| author2 | Monteiro, Alexandra Lopes, Myriam Borrego, Carlos S. Silveira, Carlos Viceto, Carolina Rocha, Alfredo Ribeiro, A.C. Andrade, João Verdial Feliciano, Manuel Castro, João Paulo Barreales, David Carlos, Cristina Peixoto, Carlos Miranda, Ana Isabel |
| author2_role | author author author author author author author author author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Blanco-Ward, Daniel Monteiro, Alexandra Lopes, Myriam Borrego, Carlos S. Silveira, Carlos Viceto, Carolina Rocha, Alfredo Ribeiro, A.C. Andrade, João Verdial Feliciano, Manuel Castro, João Paulo Barreales, David Carlos, Cristina Peixoto, Carlos Miranda, Ana Isabel |
| author_role | author |
| contributor_name_str_mv | Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
| country_str | PT |
| creators_json_txt | [{\"Person.name\":\"Blanco-Ward, Daniel\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Monteiro, Alexandra\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Lopes, Myriam\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Borrego, Carlos S.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Silveira, Carlos\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0002-9424-174X\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Viceto, Carolina\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Rocha, Alfredo\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Ribeiro, A.C.\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0002-8280-9027\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Andrade, João Verdial\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0002-5809-413X\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Feliciano, Manuel\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0002-3147-4511\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Castro, João Paulo\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0003-0647-8892\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Barreales, David\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0002-8425-0167\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Carlos, Cristina\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Peixoto, Carlos\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Miranda, Ana Isabel\"}] |
| datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv | Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
| datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv | Blanco-Ward, Daniel Monteiro, Alexandra Lopes, Myriam Borrego, Carlos S. Silveira, Carlos Viceto, Carolina Rocha, Alfredo Ribeiro, A.C. Andrade, João Verdial Feliciano, Manuel Castro, João Paulo Barreales, David Carlos, Cristina Peixoto, Carlos Miranda, Ana Isabel |
| datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv | 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z |
| datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv | 2018-02-26T17:02:01Z |
| datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv | 2018-02-26T17:02:01Z |
| datacite.rights.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv | Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Blanco-Ward, Daniel Monteiro, Alexandra Lopes, Myriam Borrego, Carlos S. Silveira, Carlos Viceto, Carolina Rocha, Alfredo Ribeiro, A.C. Andrade, João Verdial Feliciano, Manuel Castro, João Paulo Barreales, David Carlos, Cristina Peixoto, Carlos Miranda, Ana Isabel |
| dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv | 2017-01-01T00:00:00Z |
| dc.date.available.fl_str_mv | 2018-02-26T17:02:01Z |
| dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv | 2018-02-26T17:02:01Z |
| dc.format.none.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | http://hdl.handle.net/10198/16016 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv | eng |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv | BIO Web of Conferences |
| dc.rights.cclincense.fl_str_mv | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| dc.title.fl_str_mv | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794 |
| description | Climate change is of major relevance to wine production as most of the wine-growing regions of the world, in particular the Douro region, are located within relatively narrow latitudinal bands with average growing season temperatures limited to 13–21◦C. This study focuses on the incidence of climate variables and indices that are relevant both for climate change detection and for grape production with particular emphasis on extreme events (e.g. cold waves, storms, heat waves). Dynamical downscaling ofMPI-ESM-LR global data forced with RCP8.5 climatic scenario is performed with the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to a regional scale including the Douro valley of Portugal for recent-past (1986–2005) and future periods (2046– 2065; 2081–2100). The number, duration and intensity of events are superimposed over critical phenological phases of the vine (dormancy, bud burst, flowering, v´eraison, and maturity) in order to assess their positive or negative implications on wine production in the region. An assessment on the statistical significance of climatic indices, their differences between the recent-past and the future scenarios and the potential impact on wine production is performed. Preliminary results indicate increased climatic stress on the Douro region wine production and increased vulnerability of its vine varieties. These results will provide evidence for future strategies aimed to preserve the high-quality wines in the region and their typicality in a sustainable way. |
| dirty | 0 |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | conferencePaper |
| fulltext.url.fl_str_mv | https://bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt/bitstreams/288ee379-79a8-4208-8774-ceb982129838/download |
| id | ipb_f2c857bf9211c62a476a4ee1fea3e4e5 |
| identifier.url.fl_str_mv | http://hdl.handle.net/10198/16016 |
| instacron_str | ipb |
| institution | Instituto Politécnico de Bragança |
| instname_str | Instituto Politécnico de Bragança |
| language | eng |
| network_acronym_str | ipb |
| network_name_str | Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt:10198/16016 |
| organization_str_mv | urn:organizationAcronym:ipb |
| person_str_mv | Blanco-Ward, Daniel Monteiro, Alexandra Lopes, Myriam Borrego, Carlos S. Silveira, Carlos Silveira, Carlos https://www.ciencia-id.pt/351A-FA79-885E 351A-FA79-885E http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9424-174X 0000-0002-9424-174X Viceto, Carolina Rocha, Alfredo Ribeiro, A.C. Ribeiro, A.C. https://www.ciencia-id.pt/9D19-E833-BE97 9D19-E833-BE97 http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8280-9027 0000-0002-8280-9027 Andrade, João Verdial Andrade, João Verdial http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5809-413X 0000-0002-5809-413X Feliciano, Manuel Feliciano, Manuel https://www.ciencia-id.pt/2D11-7230-702B 2D11-7230-702B http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3147-4511 0000-0002-3147-4511 Castro, João Paulo Castro, João Paulo https://www.ciencia-id.pt/8D19-DBCC-8EF5 8D19-DBCC-8EF5 http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0647-8892 0000-0003-0647-8892 Barreales, David Barreales, David https://www.ciencia-id.pt/FA16-8DE7-6968 FA16-8DE7-6968 http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8425-0167 0000-0002-8425-0167 Carlos, Cristina Peixoto, Carlos Miranda, Ana Isabel |
| publishDate | 2017 |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv | BIO Web of Conferences |
| reponame_str | Biblioteca Digital do IPB |
| repository_id_str | urn:repositoryAcronym:ipb |
| service_str_mv | urn:repositoryAcronym:ipb |
| spelling | engBIO Web of Conferencespt_PTClimate change is of major relevance to wine production as most of the wine-growing regions of the world, in particular the Douro region, are located within relatively narrow latitudinal bands with average growing season temperatures limited to 13–21◦C. This study focuses on the incidence of climate variables and indices that are relevant both for climate change detection and for grape production with particular emphasis on extreme events (e.g. cold waves, storms, heat waves). Dynamical downscaling ofMPI-ESM-LR global data forced with RCP8.5 climatic scenario is performed with the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model to a regional scale including the Douro valley of Portugal for recent-past (1986–2005) and future periods (2046– 2065; 2081–2100). The number, duration and intensity of events are superimposed over critical phenological phases of the vine (dormancy, bud burst, flowering, v´eraison, and maturity) in order to assess their positive or negative implications on wine production in the region. An assessment on the statistical significance of climatic indices, their differences between the recent-past and the future scenarios and the potential impact on wine production is performed. Preliminary results indicate increased climatic stress on the Douro region wine production and increased vulnerability of its vine varieties. These results will provide evidence for future strategies aimed to preserve the high-quality wines in the region and their typicality in a sustainable way.application/pdfpt_PTAnalysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal)Blanco-Ward, DanielMonteiro, AlexandraLopes, MyriamBorrego, Carlos S.PersonalSilveira, CarlosDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/1398fb36-ddf9-4a63-a4c1-d0c8602903fcDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/1398fb36-ddf9-4a63-a4c1-d0c8602903fcSilveiraCarlosCiência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.pt351A-FA79-885EORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0002-9424-174XResearcher IDhttps://www.researcherid.comX-1640-2018Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com55849743000Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com56500111500Viceto, CarolinaRocha, AlfredoPersonalRibeiro, A.C.DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/b7ecf809-561e-40ce-86b0-603a60433710DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/b7ecf809-561e-40ce-86b0-603a60433710RibeiroAntónio C.Ciência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.pt9D19-E833-BE97ORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0002-8280-9027PersonalAndrade, João VerdialDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/8da5730a-fd13-4d9e-92a9-097b8156a42eDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/8da5730a-fd13-4d9e-92a9-097b8156a42eAndradeJoão VerdialORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0002-5809-413XScopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com55210790800PersonalFeliciano, ManuelDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/ccb9c69d-2820-493b-ab44-77b0538814faDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/ccb9c69d-2820-493b-ab44-77b0538814faFelicianoManuelCiência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.pt2D11-7230-702BORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0002-3147-4511Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com6603358480PersonalCastro, João PauloDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/17820e65-bb0d-434b-bfef-4bb539f614a5DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/17820e65-bb0d-434b-bfef-4bb539f614a5CastroJoão PauloCiência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.pt8D19-DBCC-8EF5ORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0003-0647-8892Researcher IDhttps://www.researcherid.comA-8581-2014Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com21233448700Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com56055473400PersonalBarreales, DavidDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/44d42f8e-7185-4c33-9551-66928841ce3eDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/44d42f8e-7185-4c33-9551-66928841ce3eBarrealesDavidCiência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.ptFA16-8DE7-6968ORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0002-8425-0167Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com57202136257Carlos, CristinaPeixoto, CarlosMiranda, Ana IsabelHostingInstitutionOrganizationalBiblioteca Digital do IPBe-mailmailto:dspace@ipb.ptdspace@ipb.ptDOIIsPartOf10.1051/bioconf/201709010112018-02-26T17:02:01Z20172017-01-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10198/16016http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open access486444 bytesother research producthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_5794conference paper2017http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://bibliotecadigital.ipb.pt/bitstreams/288ee379-79a8-4208-8774-ceb982129838/download40th World Congress of Vine and Wine |
| spellingShingle | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) Blanco-Ward, Daniel |
| status | SINGLETON |
| title | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| title_full | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| title_fullStr | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| title_short | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| title_sort | Analysis of climate change indices in relation to wine production: a case study in the Douro region (Portugal) |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/10198/16016 |
| visible | 1 |