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Economic Voting in Portugal, 2002-2009

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Resumo:This article tests the economic voting hypothesis in Portugal during the three most recent first-order elections (2002, 2005, 2009), trying to make sense of the multiplicity of choices in the Portuguese party system. We observed that positive sociotropic perceptions increase the probability to vote for the incumbent, even when we control for long-term factors of vote choice; egotropic effects are weaker. Negative economic perceptions not only lead to a higher probability to vote for the major opposition party, but, in some cases, increase the probabilities to vote for small parties or to refrain from voting. Sociotropic effects are actually quite constant in this timeframe, but their strength to explain the vote is lower than that of ideology and (before 2009) religiosity.
Autores principais:Freire, A.
Outros Autores:Santana-Pereira, José
Assunto:Economic voting Elections Portugal Sociotropic perceptions Multiparty systems
Ano:2012
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso embargado
Instituição associada:ISCTE
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório ISCTE

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