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Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios

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Resumo:In the Northwest coast of Portugal, the shoreline evolution is leading to several problems, such as loss of territory and infrastructural damages, mainly caused by the sea wave’s action. This study aims to predict the impacts of climate change on the shoreline evolution in this coastal area. Coastal stretches studied were Esmoriz-Furadouro and Vagueira- Mira, due to their vulnerability related with the low lying sandy coast, the deficit of sediments, the presence of urban waterfronts and the narrow width of the sand spit that separates the ocean from the Aveiro lagoon. The paper describes the application of two shoreline evolution models (LTC and GENESIS) to the projection of shoreline evolution between 2010 and 2100. A reference scenario considering the present typical wave climate and the mean sea water level was compared with 3 other future scenarios that may result from climate change effects, combining different wave climates and mean sea levels (0.42 and 0.64 m above present level). Considering the numerical models' results, maps of the shoreline position were represented every 30 years. The results allowed the analysis of the shoreline retreat, the areas of lost territory and the alongshore sediment transport volumes in several cross sections. A strong trend of shoreline retreat was found for all the scenarios, although the retreat rates tend to decrease along time. Comparing the reference scenario with the climate change scenarios, a slight clockwise rotation of the shoreline was predicted, also increasing the average shoreline retreat from 6% to 11%, depending on the considered scenario.
Autores principais:Pereira, Carla
Outros Autores:Coelho, Carlos; Ribeiro, Alexandre; Fortunato, André B.; Lopes, Carina L.; Dias, João M.
Assunto:Coastal erosion sea level rise Wave climate Shoreline retreat Erosion rates Territory lost Sediment transport
Ano:2013
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso restrito
Instituição associada:Universidade de Aveiro
Idioma:inglês
Origem:RIA - Repositório Institucional da Universidade de Aveiro
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author Pereira, Carla
author2 Coelho, Carlos
Ribeiro, Alexandre
Fortunato, André B.
Lopes, Carina L.
Dias, João M.
author2_role author
author
author
author
author
author_facet Pereira, Carla
Coelho, Carlos
Ribeiro, Alexandre
Fortunato, André B.
Lopes, Carina L.
Dias, João M.
author_role author
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Pereira, Carla\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Coelho, Carlos\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Ribeiro, Alexandre\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Fortunato, André B.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Lopes, Carina L.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Dias, João M.\"}]
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Pereira, Carla
Coelho, Carlos
Ribeiro, Alexandre
Fortunato, André B.
Lopes, Carina L.
Dias, João M.
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2013-01-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-11-21T15:01:21Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2018-11-21T15:01:21Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Coastal erosion
sea level rise
Wave climate
Shoreline retreat
Erosion rates
Territory lost
Sediment transport
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Pereira, Carla
Coelho, Carlos
Ribeiro, Alexandre
Fortunato, André B.
Lopes, Carina L.
Dias, João M.
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2013-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-11-21T15:01:21Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2018-11-21T15:01:21Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10773/24689
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Coastal Education and Research Foundation
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ec
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Coastal erosion
sea level rise
Wave climate
Shoreline retreat
Erosion rates
Territory lost
Sediment transport
dc.title.fl_str_mv Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
description In the Northwest coast of Portugal, the shoreline evolution is leading to several problems, such as loss of territory and infrastructural damages, mainly caused by the sea wave’s action. This study aims to predict the impacts of climate change on the shoreline evolution in this coastal area. Coastal stretches studied were Esmoriz-Furadouro and Vagueira- Mira, due to their vulnerability related with the low lying sandy coast, the deficit of sediments, the presence of urban waterfronts and the narrow width of the sand spit that separates the ocean from the Aveiro lagoon. The paper describes the application of two shoreline evolution models (LTC and GENESIS) to the projection of shoreline evolution between 2010 and 2100. A reference scenario considering the present typical wave climate and the mean sea water level was compared with 3 other future scenarios that may result from climate change effects, combining different wave climates and mean sea levels (0.42 and 0.64 m above present level). Considering the numerical models' results, maps of the shoreline position were represented every 30 years. The results allowed the analysis of the shoreline retreat, the areas of lost territory and the alongshore sediment transport volumes in several cross sections. A strong trend of shoreline retreat was found for all the scenarios, although the retreat rates tend to decrease along time. Comparing the reference scenario with the climate change scenarios, a slight clockwise rotation of the shoreline was predicted, also increasing the average shoreline retreat from 6% to 11%, depending on the considered scenario.
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id ria_7d4f7f45432fbe5bda3fffdffc595aa6
identifier.url.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10773/24689
instacron_str ua
institution Universidade de Aveiro
instname_str Universidade de Aveiro
language eng
network_acronym_str ria
network_name_str RIA - Repositório Institucional da Universidade de Aveiro
oai_identifier_str oai:ria.ua.pt:10773/24689
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:ua
person_str_mv Pereira, Carla
Coelho, Carlos
Ribeiro, Alexandre
Fortunato, André B.
Lopes, Carina L.
Dias, João M.
publishDate 2013
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Coastal Education and Research Foundation
reponame_str RIA - Repositório Institucional da Universidade de Aveiro
repository_id_str urn:repositoryAcronym:ria
service_str_mv urn:repositoryAcronym:ria
spelling pt_PTIn the Northwest coast of Portugal, the shoreline evolution is leading to several problems, such as loss of territory and infrastructural damages, mainly caused by the sea wave’s action. This study aims to predict the impacts of climate change on the shoreline evolution in this coastal area. Coastal stretches studied were Esmoriz-Furadouro and Vagueira- Mira, due to their vulnerability related with the low lying sandy coast, the deficit of sediments, the presence of urban waterfronts and the narrow width of the sand spit that separates the ocean from the Aveiro lagoon. The paper describes the application of two shoreline evolution models (LTC and GENESIS) to the projection of shoreline evolution between 2010 and 2100. A reference scenario considering the present typical wave climate and the mean sea water level was compared with 3 other future scenarios that may result from climate change effects, combining different wave climates and mean sea levels (0.42 and 0.64 m above present level). Considering the numerical models' results, maps of the shoreline position were represented every 30 years. The results allowed the analysis of the shoreline retreat, the areas of lost territory and the alongshore sediment transport volumes in several cross sections. A strong trend of shoreline retreat was found for all the scenarios, although the retreat rates tend to decrease along time. Comparing the reference scenario with the climate change scenarios, a slight clockwise rotation of the shoreline was predicted, also increasing the average shoreline retreat from 6% to 11%, depending on the considered scenario.application/pdfengCoastal Education and Research Foundationpt_PTNumerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenariosPereira, CarlaCoelho, CarlosRibeiro, AlexandreFortunato, André B.Lopes, Carina L.Dias, João M.Handlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10773/24689ISSNIsPartOf0749-0208DOIIsPartOf10.2112/SI65-365.12018-11-21T15:01:21Z2013-01-01T00:00:00Z2013http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ecrestricted accesspt_PTCoastal erosionpt_PTsea level risept_PTWave climatept_PTShoreline retreatpt_PTErosion ratespt_PTTerritory lostpt_PTSediment transport1957924 byteshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_16ecapplication/pdffulltexthttps://ria.ua.pt/bitstream/10773/24689/1/Pereira%20et%20al.%20-%202013%20-%20Numerical%20modelling%20of%20shoreline%20evolution%20in%20the%20.pdfliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501journal article
spellingShingle Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
Pereira, Carla
Coastal erosion
sea level rise
Wave climate
Shoreline retreat
Erosion rates
Territory lost
Sediment transport
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Coastal erosion
sea level rise
Wave climate
Shoreline retreat
Erosion rates
Territory lost
Sediment transport
title Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
title_full Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
title_fullStr Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
title_full_unstemmed Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
title_short Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
title_sort Numerical modelling of shoreline evolution in the Aveiro coast, Portugal – climate change scenarios
topic Coastal erosion
sea level rise
Wave climate
Shoreline retreat
Erosion rates
Territory lost
Sediment transport
topic_facet Coastal erosion
sea level rise
Wave climate
Shoreline retreat
Erosion rates
Territory lost
Sediment transport
url http://hdl.handle.net/10773/24689
visible 1