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Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps

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Resumo:Assessment of environmental contamination is increasingly a concern in nowadays soci- ety. The maximum levels for pollutants are heavily regulated, being necessary to ensure compliance. Consequently, it becomes important to construct probability maps of the observation region, showing the complementary value of the distribution function of the variable involved at regulatory thresholds. These are usually called risk maps in the environmental setting. In this work, two kernel-type estimators of the spatial distribution function are constructed, which de- part from approximating the distribution at the sampled sites and then obtaining a weighted average of the resulting values, to derive a valid estimator at any random location. Consistency of both ap- proaches is proved under rather general conditions, such as local stationarity and the existence of a number of derivatives of the distribution function. Unlike other alternatives, the new proposals pro- vide non-decreasing functions and do not require a previous estimation of the indicator variogram or the trend function. However, appropriate bandwidths parameters are needed and selection of them in practice needs to be addressed. Numerical studies are carried out, aiming at comparing the current proposal with more usual methods, such as those based on the sill estimation or the indicator kriging, described in Journel (1983) or Goovaerts (1997), respectively, and redesigned in García-Soidán and Menezes (2012). Finally, the new proposal is applied to arsenic data from Portugal, so that pollution risk maps of the referred region are constructed. Moreover, accuracy maps of the probability estimates might be constructed based on bootstrap replicas, as described in García-Soidán, Menezes and Rubiños (2014).
Autores principais:García-Soidán, Pilar
Outros Autores:Menezes, Raquel
Assunto:Spatial data Distribution function Kernel function Stationarity
Ano:2016
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:outro
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade do Minho
Idioma:inglês
Origem:RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
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author García-Soidán, Pilar
author2 Menezes, Raquel
author2_role author
author_facet García-Soidán, Pilar
Menezes, Raquel
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Universidade do Minho
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"García-Soidán, Pilar\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Menezes, Raquel\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Universidade do Minho
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv García-Soidán, Pilar
Menezes, Raquel
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-02-19T11:06:14Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2018-02-19T11:06:14Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Spatial data
Distribution function
Kernel function
Stationarity
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Universidade do Minho
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv García-Soidán, Pilar
Menezes, Raquel
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2016-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-02-19T11:06:14Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2018-02-19T11:06:14Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/1822/50632
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidad de Valencia. Fundación Universidad-Empresa (ADEIT)
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Spatial data
Distribution function
Kernel function
Stationarity
dc.title.fl_str_mv Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_1843
description Assessment of environmental contamination is increasingly a concern in nowadays soci- ety. The maximum levels for pollutants are heavily regulated, being necessary to ensure compliance. Consequently, it becomes important to construct probability maps of the observation region, showing the complementary value of the distribution function of the variable involved at regulatory thresholds. These are usually called risk maps in the environmental setting. In this work, two kernel-type estimators of the spatial distribution function are constructed, which de- part from approximating the distribution at the sampled sites and then obtaining a weighted average of the resulting values, to derive a valid estimator at any random location. Consistency of both ap- proaches is proved under rather general conditions, such as local stationarity and the existence of a number of derivatives of the distribution function. Unlike other alternatives, the new proposals pro- vide non-decreasing functions and do not require a previous estimation of the indicator variogram or the trend function. However, appropriate bandwidths parameters are needed and selection of them in practice needs to be addressed. Numerical studies are carried out, aiming at comparing the current proposal with more usual methods, such as those based on the sill estimation or the indicator kriging, described in Journel (1983) or Goovaerts (1997), respectively, and redesigned in García-Soidán and Menezes (2012). Finally, the new proposal is applied to arsenic data from Portugal, so that pollution risk maps of the referred region are constructed. Moreover, accuracy maps of the probability estimates might be constructed based on bootstrap replicas, as described in García-Soidán, Menezes and Rubiños (2014).
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eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format other
fulltext.url.fl_str_mv https://prod-dspace.uminho.pt/bitstreams/69590e62-45ba-47dc-862d-761ef0767ad7/download
id rum_1db77f499bbfeeea25cdbe9915112b3e
identifier.url.fl_str_mv https://hdl.handle.net/1822/50632
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institution Universidade do Minho
instname_str Universidade do Minho
language eng
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oai_identifier_str oai:repositorium.uminho.pt:1822/50632
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:repositorium
person_str_mv García-Soidán, Pilar
Menezes, Raquel
publishDate 2016
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Universidad de Valencia. Fundación Universidad-Empresa (ADEIT)
reponame_str RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
repository_id_str urn:repositoryAcronym:rum
service_str_mv urn:repositoryAcronym:rum
spelling engUniversidad de Valencia. Fundación Universidad-Empresa (ADEIT)porAssessment of environmental contamination is increasingly a concern in nowadays soci- ety. The maximum levels for pollutants are heavily regulated, being necessary to ensure compliance. Consequently, it becomes important to construct probability maps of the observation region, showing the complementary value of the distribution function of the variable involved at regulatory thresholds. These are usually called risk maps in the environmental setting. In this work, two kernel-type estimators of the spatial distribution function are constructed, which de- part from approximating the distribution at the sampled sites and then obtaining a weighted average of the resulting values, to derive a valid estimator at any random location. Consistency of both ap- proaches is proved under rather general conditions, such as local stationarity and the existence of a number of derivatives of the distribution function. Unlike other alternatives, the new proposals pro- vide non-decreasing functions and do not require a previous estimation of the indicator variogram or the trend function. However, appropriate bandwidths parameters are needed and selection of them in practice needs to be addressed. Numerical studies are carried out, aiming at comparing the current proposal with more usual methods, such as those based on the sill estimation or the indicator kriging, described in Journel (1983) or Goovaerts (1997), respectively, and redesigned in García-Soidán and Menezes (2012). Finally, the new proposal is applied to arsenic data from Portugal, so that pollution risk maps of the referred region are constructed. Moreover, accuracy maps of the probability estimates might be constructed based on bootstrap replicas, as described in García-Soidán, Menezes and Rubiños (2014).application/pdfporNonparametric approaches for estimating risk mapsGarcía-Soidán, PilarMenezes, RaquelHostingInstitutionOrganizationalUniversidade do Minhoe-mailmailto:repositorium@usdb.uminho.ptrepositorium@usdb.uminho.ptISBNIsPartOf978-84-608-8468-22018-02-19T11:06:14Z20162016-01-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttps://hdl.handle.net/1822/50632http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessSpatial dataDistribution functionKernel functionStationarity68337 bytesother research producthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_1843otherhttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://prod-dspace.uminho.pt/bitstreams/69590e62-45ba-47dc-862d-761ef0767ad7/download
spellingShingle Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
García-Soidán, Pilar
Spatial data
Distribution function
Kernel function
Stationarity
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Spatial data
Distribution function
Kernel function
Stationarity
title Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
title_full Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
title_fullStr Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
title_full_unstemmed Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
title_short Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
title_sort Nonparametric approaches for estimating risk maps
topic Spatial data
Distribution function
Kernel function
Stationarity
topic_facet Spatial data
Distribution function
Kernel function
Stationarity
url https://hdl.handle.net/1822/50632
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