Publicação
Coexistence of two dengue virus serotypes and forecasting for Madeira Island
| Resumo: | The first outbreak of dengue occurred in Madeira Island in 2012, featuring one virus serotype. Aedes aegypti was the vector of the disease and it is unlikely that it will be eliminated from the island. Therefore, a new outbreak of dengue fever can occur and, if it happens, risk to the population increases if two serotypes coexist. In this paper, mathematical modeling and numerical simulations are carried out to forecast what may happen in Madeira Island in such a scenario. |
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| Autores principais: | Rocha, Filipa Portugal |
| Outros Autores: | Rodrigues, Helena Sofia; Monteiro, M. Teresa T.; Torres, Delfim F. M. |
| Assunto: | Modeling infectious diseases Dengue Virus serotype Multistrain |
| Ano: | 2015 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | artigo |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso restrito |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade do Minho |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho |
| Resumo: | The first outbreak of dengue occurred in Madeira Island in 2012, featuring one virus serotype. Aedes aegypti was the vector of the disease and it is unlikely that it will be eliminated from the island. Therefore, a new outbreak of dengue fever can occur and, if it happens, risk to the population increases if two serotypes coexist. In this paper, mathematical modeling and numerical simulations are carried out to forecast what may happen in Madeira Island in such a scenario. |
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