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From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.

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Resumo:Okta, the largest independent identity-and-access-management platform, has seen its market value swing sharply amid rising interest rates and volatile software multiples. This work project derives Okta’s intrinsic equity value through an integrated operating model that feeds a discounted-cash flow model, peer trading multiples and precedent identity-software transactions, all rooted in detailed forecasts of revenue mix, margin expansion and capital intensity. Scenario-weighted DCF indicates US $124.60 per share; a growth-adjusted revenue multiple corroborates at US $114.02, yielding a blended estimate of US $120.37, which is about 8% above May 1, 2025 stock closing price.
Autores principais:Fixemer, Leon
Assunto:Okta Inc. Cybersecurity SaaS Company valuation DCF
Ano:2025
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
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author Fixemer, Leon
author_facet Fixemer, Leon
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Miguel, António Freitas
RUN
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Fixemer, Leon\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Miguel, António Freitas
RUN
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Fixemer, Leon
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2025-06-18T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2025-09-01T14:51:26Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2025-09-01T14:51:26Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Okta Inc.
Cybersecurity
SaaS
Company valuation
DCF
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Miguel, António Freitas
RUN
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Fixemer, Leon
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2025-06-18T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2025-09-01T14:51:26Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2025-09-01T14:51:26Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/187301
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Okta Inc.
Cybersecurity
SaaS
Company valuation
DCF
dc.title.fl_str_mv From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc
description Okta, the largest independent identity-and-access-management platform, has seen its market value swing sharply amid rising interest rates and volatile software multiples. This work project derives Okta’s intrinsic equity value through an integrated operating model that feeds a discounted-cash flow model, peer trading multiples and precedent identity-software transactions, all rooted in detailed forecasts of revenue mix, margin expansion and capital intensity. Scenario-weighted DCF indicates US $124.60 per share; a growth-adjusted revenue multiple corroborates at US $114.02, yielding a blended estimate of US $120.37, which is about 8% above May 1, 2025 stock closing price.
dirty 0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format masterThesis
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id run_5903cd0b580d925e2cb8a29ffca007bd
identifier.url.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/187301
inst_facet_str urn:organizationAcronym:unl{{{_:::_}}}Universidade Nova de Lisboa
instacron_str unl
institution Universidade Nova de Lisboa
instname_str Universidade Nova de Lisboa
language eng
network_acronym_str run
network_name_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
oai_identifier_str oai:run.unl.pt:10362/187301
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:unl
person_str_mv Fixemer, Leon
publishDate 2025
repo_facet_str urn:repositoryAcronym:run{{{_:::_}}}Repositório Institucional da UNL
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
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spelling engpt_PTOkta, the largest independent identity-and-access-management platform, has seen its market value swing sharply amid rising interest rates and volatile software multiples. This work project derives Okta’s intrinsic equity value through an integrated operating model that feeds a discounted-cash flow model, peer trading multiples and precedent identity-software transactions, all rooted in detailed forecasts of revenue mix, margin expansion and capital intensity. Scenario-weighted DCF indicates US $124.60 per share; a growth-adjusted revenue multiple corroborates at US $114.02, yielding a blended estimate of US $120.37, which is about 8% above May 1, 2025 stock closing price.application/pdfpt_PTFrom subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.Fixemer, LeonMiguel, António FreitasHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRUNe-mailmailto:run@unl.ptrun@unl.ptURNurn:tid:2039915672025-09-01T14:51:26Z2025-06-182025-06-182025-06-18T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/187301http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessOkta Inc.CybersecuritySaaSCompany valuationDCF1961063 bytesliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdccmaster thesishttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://run.unl.pt/bitstreams/607f3728-5bbb-4ca7-a11e-cfec6ad8d398/download
spellingShingle From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
Fixemer, Leon
Okta Inc.
Cybersecurity
SaaS
Company valuation
DCF
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Okta Inc.
Cybersecurity
SaaS
Company valuation
DCF
title From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
title_full From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
title_fullStr From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
title_full_unstemmed From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
title_short From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
title_sort From subscription revenue to intrinsic value: a company valuation of Okta Inc.
topic Okta Inc.
Cybersecurity
SaaS
Company valuation
DCF
topic_facet Okta Inc.
Cybersecurity
SaaS
Company valuation
DCF
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/187301
visible 1