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Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program

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Resumo:Numerous evaluations of conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs show positive short-term impacts, but there is only limited evidence on whether these benefits translate into sustained longer-term gains. This paper uses the municipal-level randomized assignment of a CCT program implemented for five years in Honduras to estimate long-term effects 13 years after the program began. We estimate intent-to-treat effects using individual-level data from the population census, which allows assignment of individuals to their municipality of birth, thereby circumventing migration selection concerns. For the non-indigenous, we find positive and robust impacts on educational outcomes for cohorts of a very wide age range. These include increases of more than 50 percent for secondary school completion rates and the probability of reaching university studies for those exposed at school-going ages. They also include substantive gains for grades attained and current enrollment for others exposed during early childhood, raising the possibility of further gains going forward. Educational gains are, however, more limited for the indigenous. Finally, exposure to the CCT increased the probability of international migration for young men, from 3 to 7 percentage points, also stronger for the non-indigenous. Both early childhood exposure to the nutrition and health components of the CCT as well as exposure during school-going ages to the educational components led to sustained increases in human capital.
Autores principais:Molina Millán, Teresa
Outros Autores:Macours, Karen; Maluccio, John A.; Tejerina, Luis
Assunto:Conditional cash transfers (CCTs) Early childhood Education Migration Development Economics and Econometrics SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being SDG 4 - Quality Education
Ano:2020
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
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author Molina Millán, Teresa
author2 Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Tejerina, Luis
author2_role author
author
author
author_facet Molina Millán, Teresa
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Tejerina, Luis
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
Elsevier
RUN
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Molina Millán, Teresa\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Macours, Karen\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Maluccio, John A.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Tejerina, Luis\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
Elsevier
RUN
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Molina Millán, Teresa
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Tejerina, Luis
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2020-03-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2019-11-30T00:19:31Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2019-11-30T00:19:31Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
Early childhood
Education
Migration
Development
Economics and Econometrics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 4 - Quality Education
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv NOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)
Elsevier
RUN
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Molina Millán, Teresa
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Tejerina, Luis
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2020-03-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2019-11-30T00:19:31Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2019-11-30T00:19:31Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85072577537&partnerID=8YFLogxK
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
Early childhood
Education
Migration
Development
Economics and Econometrics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 4 - Quality Education
dc.title.fl_str_mv Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
description Numerous evaluations of conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs show positive short-term impacts, but there is only limited evidence on whether these benefits translate into sustained longer-term gains. This paper uses the municipal-level randomized assignment of a CCT program implemented for five years in Honduras to estimate long-term effects 13 years after the program began. We estimate intent-to-treat effects using individual-level data from the population census, which allows assignment of individuals to their municipality of birth, thereby circumventing migration selection concerns. For the non-indigenous, we find positive and robust impacts on educational outcomes for cohorts of a very wide age range. These include increases of more than 50 percent for secondary school completion rates and the probability of reaching university studies for those exposed at school-going ages. They also include substantive gains for grades attained and current enrollment for others exposed during early childhood, raising the possibility of further gains going forward. Educational gains are, however, more limited for the indigenous. Finally, exposure to the CCT increased the probability of international migration for young men, from 3 to 7 percentage points, also stronger for the non-indigenous. Both early childhood exposure to the nutrition and health components of the CCT as well as exposure during school-going ages to the educational components led to sustained increases in human capital.
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eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
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instname_str Universidade Nova de Lisboa
language eng
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oai_identifier_str oai:run.unl.pt:10362/88797
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:unl
person_str_mv Molina Millán, Teresa
Macours, Karen
Maluccio, John A.
Tejerina, Luis
publishDate 2020
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
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spelling engenNumerous evaluations of conditional cash transfer (CCT) programs show positive short-term impacts, but there is only limited evidence on whether these benefits translate into sustained longer-term gains. This paper uses the municipal-level randomized assignment of a CCT program implemented for five years in Honduras to estimate long-term effects 13 years after the program began. We estimate intent-to-treat effects using individual-level data from the population census, which allows assignment of individuals to their municipality of birth, thereby circumventing migration selection concerns. For the non-indigenous, we find positive and robust impacts on educational outcomes for cohorts of a very wide age range. These include increases of more than 50 percent for secondary school completion rates and the probability of reaching university studies for those exposed at school-going ages. They also include substantive gains for grades attained and current enrollment for others exposed during early childhood, raising the possibility of further gains going forward. Educational gains are, however, more limited for the indigenous. Finally, exposure to the CCT increased the probability of international migration for young men, from 3 to 7 percentage points, also stronger for the non-indigenous. Both early childhood exposure to the nutrition and health components of the CCT as well as exposure during school-going ages to the educational components led to sustained increases in human capital.application/pdfenExperimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer programMolina Millán, TeresaMacours, KarenMaluccio, John A.Tejerina, LuisNOVA School of Business and Economics (NOVA SBE)ElsevierHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRUNe-mailmailto:run@unl.ptrun@unl.ptISSNIsPartOf0304-3878URNIsPartOfPURE: 14845601URNIsPartOfPURE UUID: 348292bc-0313-4999-b2b8-fb7e3703c1b2URNIsPartOfScopus: 85072577537URNIsPartOfWOS: 000518697900001DOIIsPartOf10.1016/j.jdeveco.2019.1023852019-11-30T00:19:31Z2020-03-012020-03-01T00:00:00ZURLhttp://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85072577537&partnerID=8YFLogxKhttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessConditional cash transfers (CCTs)Early childhoodEducationMigrationDevelopmentEconomics and EconometricsSDG 3 - Good Health and Well-beingSDG 4 - Quality Education1493617 bytesliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://run.unl.pt/bitstreams/ce150114-4fee-43c8-b0fe-4bab8802935d/download
spellingShingle Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
Molina Millán, Teresa
Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
Early childhood
Education
Migration
Development
Economics and Econometrics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 4 - Quality Education
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
Early childhood
Education
Migration
Development
Economics and Econometrics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 4 - Quality Education
title Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
title_full Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
title_fullStr Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
title_full_unstemmed Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
title_short Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
title_sort Experimental long-term effects of early-childhood and school-age exposure to a conditional cash transfer program
topic Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
Early childhood
Education
Migration
Development
Economics and Econometrics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 4 - Quality Education
topic_facet Conditional cash transfers (CCTs)
Early childhood
Education
Migration
Development
Economics and Econometrics
SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
SDG 4 - Quality Education
url http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85072577537&partnerID=8YFLogxK
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