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The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables

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Resumo:The purpose of this Work Project is to build a yield curve model for the German Government yield curve containing latent variables (Level, Slope and Curvature), macroeconomic variables (German IFO and Inflation Rate) and a stock market variable (German Stock Index DAX), while studying the yield curve dynamics. The model incorporates the Nelson and Siegel (1987) factor model under a State-Space framework and the estimation results provided a good fitting of the historical yield curve. Additionally, after doing a Variance Decomposition analysis, this project proves the existence of an interaction between the yield curve and the German Macroeconomy/Stock Market.
Autores principais:Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
Assunto:Yield curve State-space model Macroeconomy Stock market
Ano:2010
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
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author Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
author_facet Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Leiria, Paulo
RUN
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Almeida, José Pedro Abreu\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Leiria, Paulo
RUN
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2010-05-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2013-08-09T13:47:44Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2013-08-09T13:47:44Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Yield curve
State-space model
Macroeconomy
Stock market
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Leiria, Paulo
RUN
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2010-05-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2013-08-09T13:47:44Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2013-08-09T13:47:44Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/10351
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv NSBE - UNL
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Yield curve
State-space model
Macroeconomy
Stock market
dc.title.fl_str_mv The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc
description The purpose of this Work Project is to build a yield curve model for the German Government yield curve containing latent variables (Level, Slope and Curvature), macroeconomic variables (German IFO and Inflation Rate) and a stock market variable (German Stock Index DAX), while studying the yield curve dynamics. The model incorporates the Nelson and Siegel (1987) factor model under a State-Space framework and the estimation results provided a good fitting of the historical yield curve. Additionally, after doing a Variance Decomposition analysis, this project proves the existence of an interaction between the yield curve and the German Macroeconomy/Stock Market.
dirty 0
eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format masterThesis
fulltext.url.fl_str_mv https://run.unl.pt/bitstreams/8d4fc90a-bc6c-493e-9503-64f44671f47f/download
id run_bcb7dbe20fc429eb2e2aac844e55ce94
identifier.url.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/10351
instacron_str unl
institution Universidade Nova de Lisboa
instname_str Universidade Nova de Lisboa
language eng
network_acronym_str run
network_name_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
oai_identifier_str oai:run.unl.pt:10362/10351
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:unl
person_str_mv Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
publishDate 2010
publisher.none.fl_str_mv NSBE - UNL
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
repository_id_str urn:repositoryAcronym:run
service_str_mv urn:repositoryAcronym:run
spelling engNSBE - UNLporThe purpose of this Work Project is to build a yield curve model for the German Government yield curve containing latent variables (Level, Slope and Curvature), macroeconomic variables (German IFO and Inflation Rate) and a stock market variable (German Stock Index DAX), while studying the yield curve dynamics. The model incorporates the Nelson and Siegel (1987) factor model under a State-Space framework and the estimation results provided a good fitting of the historical yield curve. Additionally, after doing a Variance Decomposition analysis, this project proves the existence of an interaction between the yield curve and the German Macroeconomy/Stock Market.application/pdfporThe fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variablesAlmeida, José Pedro AbreuLeiria, PauloHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRUNe-mailmailto:run@unl.ptrun@unl.pt2013-08-09T13:47:44Z2010-052010-05-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/10351http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessYield curveState-space modelMacroeconomyStock market887259 bytesliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdccmaster thesishttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://run.unl.pt/bitstreams/8d4fc90a-bc6c-493e-9503-64f44671f47f/download
spellingShingle The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
Almeida, José Pedro Abreu
Yield curve
State-space model
Macroeconomy
Stock market
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Yield curve
State-space model
Macroeconomy
Stock market
title The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
title_full The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
title_fullStr The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
title_full_unstemmed The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
title_short The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
title_sort The fitting of the German yield curve: a dynamic approach using latent, macroeconomic and stock market variables
topic Yield curve
State-space model
Macroeconomy
Stock market
topic_facet Yield curve
State-space model
Macroeconomy
Stock market
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/10351
visible 1