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Tuned for growth: a valuation analysis of universal music group

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Resumo:This report is part of a joint equity research project that estimates Universal Music Group's (UMG) intrinsic value and provides an investment recommendation. The analysis uses standard valuation techniques, such as sensitivity and Monte Carlo analyses, Discounted Cash Flow (DCF), and Dividend Discount Model (DDM), to evaluate UMG's business model, industry competitors, and financial performance. When assessing long-term value creation, special attention is given to risk assessment, cost of capital estimation, and ESG factors. Based on UMG's strong cash-flow generation and asset-light digital business model, the valuation yields a target share price of €53.16 as of September 8, 2025, indicating a STRONG BUY recommendation and a significant upside relative to the current share price of €24.55.
Autores principais:Oliveira, Ana Rita Pereira de
Assunto:Company valuation Corporate finance Music entertainment industry Universal music group
Ano:2026
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL

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