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The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto

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Resumo:Major urban events pose significant challenges to city infrastructure, particularly regarding traffic congestion and air quality degradation. This study investigates the short-term impact of two large-scale events, Web Summit 2022 in Lisboa and NOS Primavera Sound 2022 in Porto on nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations and traffic incidents. Using a Difference-inDifferences (DiD) econometric framework, combined with spatial buffering and environmental and traffic data, the analysis compares treated areas surrounding event venues with control zones during event and non-event days. Descriptive results reveal a rise in traffic incidents during event periods in both cities, while NO₂ concentrations unexpectedly declined. However, causal inference via DiD models shows no statistically significant effect of either event on local air quality. In contrast, a significant and localized increase in traffic incidents is observed in Porto during NOS Primavera Sound. These findings suggest that while large events can disrupt mobility patterns in specific zones, their short-term environmental impact is harder to isolate. The study contributes to the understanding of event-driven urban disturbances and highlights the need for spatially targeted traffic management strategies. Limitations related to data coverage, meteorological controls, and the parallel trends assumption are discussed, pointing to directions for future research in urban resilience and sustainable event planning.
Autores principais:Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
Assunto:Urban Events Air Quality Traffic Difference in Differences Spatiotemporal Analysis SDG 3 - Good health and well-being SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities SDG 13 - Climate action
Ano:2025
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
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author Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
author_facet Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Jardim, João Bruno Morais de Sousa
Damásio, Bruno Miguel Pinto
RUN
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Fernandes, Tiago João Silva\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Jardim, João Bruno Morais de Sousa
Damásio, Bruno Miguel Pinto
RUN
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2025-10-29T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2025-11-13T10:59:14Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2025-11-13T10:59:14Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Urban Events
Air Quality
Traffic
Difference in Differences
Spatiotemporal Analysis
SDG 3 - Good health and well-being
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities
SDG 13 - Climate action
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Jardim, João Bruno Morais de Sousa
Damásio, Bruno Miguel Pinto
RUN
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2025-10-29T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2025-11-13T10:59:14Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2025-11-13T10:59:14Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/190650
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.rights.cclincense.fl_str_mv http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Urban Events
Air Quality
Traffic
Difference in Differences
Spatiotemporal Analysis
SDG 3 - Good health and well-being
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities
SDG 13 - Climate action
dc.title.fl_str_mv The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc
description Major urban events pose significant challenges to city infrastructure, particularly regarding traffic congestion and air quality degradation. This study investigates the short-term impact of two large-scale events, Web Summit 2022 in Lisboa and NOS Primavera Sound 2022 in Porto on nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations and traffic incidents. Using a Difference-inDifferences (DiD) econometric framework, combined with spatial buffering and environmental and traffic data, the analysis compares treated areas surrounding event venues with control zones during event and non-event days. Descriptive results reveal a rise in traffic incidents during event periods in both cities, while NO₂ concentrations unexpectedly declined. However, causal inference via DiD models shows no statistically significant effect of either event on local air quality. In contrast, a significant and localized increase in traffic incidents is observed in Porto during NOS Primavera Sound. These findings suggest that while large events can disrupt mobility patterns in specific zones, their short-term environmental impact is harder to isolate. The study contributes to the understanding of event-driven urban disturbances and highlights the need for spatially targeted traffic management strategies. Limitations related to data coverage, meteorological controls, and the parallel trends assumption are discussed, pointing to directions for future research in urban resilience and sustainable event planning.
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eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format masterThesis
fulltext.url.fl_str_mv https://run.unl.pt/bitstreams/ae8bbf39-dd46-4ccd-9b63-407987dd9f27/download
id run_d43e355b271fcad2a83847d660ff2e8d
identifier.url.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10362/190650
inst_facet_str urn:organizationAcronym:unl{{{_:::_}}}Universidade Nova de Lisboa
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institution Universidade Nova de Lisboa
instname_str Universidade Nova de Lisboa
language eng
network_acronym_str run
network_name_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
oai_identifier_str oai:run.unl.pt:10362/190650
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:unl
person_str_mv Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
publishDate 2025
repo_facet_str urn:repositoryAcronym:run{{{_:::_}}}Repositório Institucional da UNL
reponame_str Repositório Institucional da UNL
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spelling engpt_PTMajor urban events pose significant challenges to city infrastructure, particularly regarding traffic congestion and air quality degradation. This study investigates the short-term impact of two large-scale events, Web Summit 2022 in Lisboa and NOS Primavera Sound 2022 in Porto on nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) concentrations and traffic incidents. Using a Difference-inDifferences (DiD) econometric framework, combined with spatial buffering and environmental and traffic data, the analysis compares treated areas surrounding event venues with control zones during event and non-event days. Descriptive results reveal a rise in traffic incidents during event periods in both cities, while NO₂ concentrations unexpectedly declined. However, causal inference via DiD models shows no statistically significant effect of either event on local air quality. In contrast, a significant and localized increase in traffic incidents is observed in Porto during NOS Primavera Sound. These findings suggest that while large events can disrupt mobility patterns in specific zones, their short-term environmental impact is harder to isolate. The study contributes to the understanding of event-driven urban disturbances and highlights the need for spatially targeted traffic management strategies. Limitations related to data coverage, meteorological controls, and the parallel trends assumption are discussed, pointing to directions for future research in urban resilience and sustainable event planning.application/pdfpt_PTThe impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and PortoFernandes, Tiago João SilvaJardim, João Bruno Morais de SousaDamásio, Bruno Miguel PintoHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRUNe-mailmailto:run@unl.ptrun@unl.ptURNurn:tid:2040719842025-11-13T10:59:14Z2025-10-292025-10-29T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10362/190650http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessUrban EventsAir QualityTrafficDifference in DifferencesSpatiotemporal AnalysisSDG 3 - Good health and well-beingSDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communitiesSDG 13 - Climate action3122623 bytesliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdccmaster thesis2025-10-29http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://run.unl.pt/bitstreams/ae8bbf39-dd46-4ccd-9b63-407987dd9f27/download
spellingShingle The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
Fernandes, Tiago João Silva
Urban Events
Air Quality
Traffic
Difference in Differences
Spatiotemporal Analysis
SDG 3 - Good health and well-being
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities
SDG 13 - Climate action
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Urban Events
Air Quality
Traffic
Difference in Differences
Spatiotemporal Analysis
SDG 3 - Good health and well-being
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities
SDG 13 - Climate action
title The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
title_full The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
title_fullStr The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
title_full_unstemmed The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
title_short The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
title_sort The impact of Big Events in Traffic and Air Quality: A Difference in Differences Study in Lisboa and Porto
topic Urban Events
Air Quality
Traffic
Difference in Differences
Spatiotemporal Analysis
SDG 3 - Good health and well-being
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities
SDG 13 - Climate action
topic_facet Urban Events
Air Quality
Traffic
Difference in Differences
Spatiotemporal Analysis
SDG 3 - Good health and well-being
SDG 11 - Sustainable cities and communities
SDG 13 - Climate action
url http://hdl.handle.net/10362/190650
visible 1