Publicação
Moncler´s group equity research - setting a new trend
| Resumo: | An in-depth valuation of Moncler Group was done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method, Multiple Method and Scenario Analysis. The DCF method arrived at a €53.39 share price resulting in a 13.4% upside for shareholders. The analysis extends to a sensitivity analysis of the WACC and the terminal growth rate, illustrating the valuation's responsiveness to these assumptions. A multiples-based valuation method corroborates the DCF findings, comparing Moncler to peers via metrics like EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, and P/E ratios, and reflecting Moncler's superior market positioning. Scenario analyses further enrich the valuation, considering bull and bear cases that provide a spectrum of potential outcomes based on Moncler's operational performance and market conditions. This extensive valuation exercise underscores Moncler's potential as an investment resulting in a BUY recommendation which is supported by its strong brand, historical performance, and strategic initiatives. Investors are advised to consider this valuation within the broader context of market volatility and Moncler's growth trajectory, which presents a balanced risk-reward proposition. |
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| Autores principais: | Guerra, Miguel Laranjeira Henriques Esteves |
| Assunto: | Luxury Sustainability Moncler Corporate finance |
| Ano: | 2024 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | dissertação de mestrado |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade Nova de Lisboa |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Repositório Institucional da UNL |
| Resumo: | An in-depth valuation of Moncler Group was done using the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method, Multiple Method and Scenario Analysis. The DCF method arrived at a €53.39 share price resulting in a 13.4% upside for shareholders. The analysis extends to a sensitivity analysis of the WACC and the terminal growth rate, illustrating the valuation's responsiveness to these assumptions. A multiples-based valuation method corroborates the DCF findings, comparing Moncler to peers via metrics like EV/Sales, EV/EBITDA, and P/E ratios, and reflecting Moncler's superior market positioning. Scenario analyses further enrich the valuation, considering bull and bear cases that provide a spectrum of potential outcomes based on Moncler's operational performance and market conditions. This extensive valuation exercise underscores Moncler's potential as an investment resulting in a BUY recommendation which is supported by its strong brand, historical performance, and strategic initiatives. Investors are advised to consider this valuation within the broader context of market volatility and Moncler's growth trajectory, which presents a balanced risk-reward proposition. |
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