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Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate

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Resumo:This paper aims to evaluate an econometric model of equilibrium for the Bulgarian foreign tourism industry. The main microeconomic assumptions of the model are the existence of identical consumers, identical composite tourism industry product and perfect market conditions. The real effective exchange rate (REER) is used as a proxy for the composite product price and other proxies are introduced for foreign income and domestic tourism industry capacity. The data is deseasonalised with a geometric mean and the Hodrick-Prescott filter. The TSLS method of estimation is applied to take into account the over-identified model. The estimation results are consistent with core microeconomic theory. The estimated model allows for price equilibrium convergence. Dropping the initial constraints allows for additional conclusions. The tourism industry can substantially gain from advertising, product diversification and diminished reliance on summer bookings. Given the important macroeconomic role of the tourism industry under the Currency Board regime and the potential for tourism industry vulnerability, the government could play an important role in promoting sustainable development in the tourism sector.
Autores principais:Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
Assunto:Bulgaria Real effective exchange rate partial equilibrium supply and demand curves tourism sector
Ano:2014
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia
Idioma:inglês
Origem:SciELO Portugal
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author Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
author_facet Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
author_role author
country_str PT
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datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Bulgaria
Real effective exchange rate
partial equilibrium
supply and demand curves
tourism sector
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv text/html
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2182-84582014000300022
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Escola Superior de Gestão, Hotelaria e Turismo da Universidade do Algarve
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.source.none.fl_str_mv Tourism & Management Studies v.10 n.Especial 2014
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Bulgaria
Real effective exchange rate
partial equilibrium
supply and demand curves
tourism sector
dc.title.fl_str_mv Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
description This paper aims to evaluate an econometric model of equilibrium for the Bulgarian foreign tourism industry. The main microeconomic assumptions of the model are the existence of identical consumers, identical composite tourism industry product and perfect market conditions. The real effective exchange rate (REER) is used as a proxy for the composite product price and other proxies are introduced for foreign income and domestic tourism industry capacity. The data is deseasonalised with a geometric mean and the Hodrick-Prescott filter. The TSLS method of estimation is applied to take into account the over-identified model. The estimation results are consistent with core microeconomic theory. The estimated model allows for price equilibrium convergence. Dropping the initial constraints allows for additional conclusions. The tourism industry can substantially gain from advertising, product diversification and diminished reliance on summer bookings. Given the important macroeconomic role of the tourism industry under the Currency Board regime and the potential for tourism industry vulnerability, the government could play an important role in promoting sustainable development in the tourism sector.
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person_str_mv Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
publishDate 2014
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Escola Superior de Gestão, Hotelaria e Turismo da Universidade do Algarve
reponame_str SciELO Portugal
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spelling Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rateGanchev,Gancho TodorovBulgariaReal effective exchange ratepartial equilibriumsupply and demand curvestourism sectoropen accesshttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2182-84582014000300022URLhttp://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2182-84582014000300022URLHasVersion2014-12-01This paper aims to evaluate an econometric model of equilibrium for the Bulgarian foreign tourism industry. The main microeconomic assumptions of the model are the existence of identical consumers, identical composite tourism industry product and perfect market conditions. The real effective exchange rate (REER) is used as a proxy for the composite product price and other proxies are introduced for foreign income and domestic tourism industry capacity. The data is deseasonalised with a geometric mean and the Hodrick-Prescott filter. The TSLS method of estimation is applied to take into account the over-identified model. The estimation results are consistent with core microeconomic theory. The estimated model allows for price equilibrium convergence. Dropping the initial constraints allows for additional conclusions. The tourism industry can substantially gain from advertising, product diversification and diminished reliance on summer bookings. Given the important macroeconomic role of the tourism industry under the Currency Board regime and the potential for tourism industry vulnerability, the government could play an important role in promoting sustainable development in the tourism sector.Escola Superior de Gestão, Hotelaria e Turismo da Universidade do AlgarveTourism & Management Studies v.10 n.Especial 2014text/htmlengjournal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501literature
spellingShingle Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
Ganchev,Gancho Todorov
Bulgaria
Real effective exchange rate
partial equilibrium
supply and demand curves
tourism sector
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Bulgaria
Real effective exchange rate
partial equilibrium
supply and demand curves
tourism sector
title Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
title_full Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
title_fullStr Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
title_full_unstemmed Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
title_short Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
title_sort Tourism industry: Role of the real effective exchange rate
topic Bulgaria
Real effective exchange rate
partial equilibrium
supply and demand curves
tourism sector
topic_facet Bulgaria
Real effective exchange rate
partial equilibrium
supply and demand curves
tourism sector
url http://scielo.pt/scielo.php?script=sci_arttext&pid=S2182-84582014000300022
visible 1