Publication
Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change
| Summary: | Humans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of- century distributions. We found that climate-induced suitability for modelled invasive species increases with latitude, because traded birds are mainly of tropical origin and much of the temperate region is ‘tropicalizing.’ Conversely, the tropics are becoming more arid, thus limiting the potential from cross-continental invasion by tropical species. This trend is compounded by forest loss around the tropics since most traded birds are forest dwellers. In contrast, net gains in forest area across the temperate region could compound climate change effects and increase the potential for colonization of low-latitude birds. Climate change has always led to regional redistributions of species, but the combination of human transportation, climate, and land-cover changes will likely accelerate the redistribution of species globally, increasing chances of alien species successfully invading non-native lands. Such process of biodiversity homogenization can lead to emergence of non-analogue communities with unknown environmental and socioeconomic consequences |
|---|---|
| Main Authors: | Naimi, Babak |
| Other Authors: | Capinha, César; Ribeiro, Joana; Rahbek, Carsten; Strubbe, Diederik; Reino, Luís; Araújo, Miguel B. |
| Subject: | biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| Year: | 2022 |
| Country: | Portugal |
| Document type: | article |
| Access type: | open access |
| Associated institution: | Universidade de Lisboa |
| Language: | English |
| Origin: | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| _version_ | 1866810329556582400 |
|---|---|
| author | Naimi, Babak |
| author2 | Capinha, César Ribeiro, Joana Rahbek, Carsten Strubbe, Diederik Reino, Luís Araújo, Miguel B. |
| author2_role | author author author author author author |
| author_facet | Naimi, Babak Capinha, César Ribeiro, Joana Rahbek, Carsten Strubbe, Diederik Reino, Luís Araújo, Miguel B. |
| author_role | author |
| contributor_name_str_mv | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa |
| country_str | PT |
| creators_json_txt | [{\"Person.name\":\"Naimi, Babak\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Capinha, César\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Ribeiro, Joana\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Rahbek, Carsten\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Strubbe, Diederik\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Reino, Luís\",\"Person.identifier.orcid\":\"0000-0002-9768-1097\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Araújo, Miguel B.\"}] |
| datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa |
| datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv | Naimi, Babak Capinha, César Ribeiro, Joana Rahbek, Carsten Strubbe, Diederik Reino, Luís Araújo, Miguel B. |
| datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv | 2022-01-01T00:00:00Z |
| datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv | 2022-08-12T08:38:34Z |
| datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv | 2022-08-12T08:38:34Z |
| datacite.rights.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv | biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Naimi, Babak Capinha, César Ribeiro, Joana Rahbek, Carsten Strubbe, Diederik Reino, Luís Araújo, Miguel B. |
| dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv | 2022-01-01T00:00:00Z |
| dc.date.available.fl_str_mv | 2022-08-12T08:38:34Z |
| dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv | 2022-08-12T08:38:34Z |
| dc.format.none.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/25163 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv | eng |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv | Wiley |
| dc.rights.cclincense.fl_str_mv | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| dc.title.fl_str_mv | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 |
| description | Humans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of- century distributions. We found that climate-induced suitability for modelled invasive species increases with latitude, because traded birds are mainly of tropical origin and much of the temperate region is ‘tropicalizing.’ Conversely, the tropics are becoming more arid, thus limiting the potential from cross-continental invasion by tropical species. This trend is compounded by forest loss around the tropics since most traded birds are forest dwellers. In contrast, net gains in forest area across the temperate region could compound climate change effects and increase the potential for colonization of low-latitude birds. Climate change has always led to regional redistributions of species, but the combination of human transportation, climate, and land-cover changes will likely accelerate the redistribution of species globally, increasing chances of alien species successfully invading non-native lands. Such process of biodiversity homogenization can lead to emergence of non-analogue communities with unknown environmental and socioeconomic consequences |
| dirty | 0 |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | article |
| fulltext.url.fl_str_mv | https://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/fbe5677f-40bb-48fd-af73-236940688082/download |
| funding.funder.alternateName_str_mv | FCT FCT FCT FCT |
| funding.funder.identifier_str_mv | http://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871 http://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871 http://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871 http://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871 |
| funding.funder.name_str_mv | Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia |
| funding.name_str_mv | CEEC IND 2017 CEEC IND 2017 9471 - RIDTI 6817 - DCRRNI ID |
| id | ul_473f9a20573f286d1fd4e5d096d3d7d2 |
| identifier.url.fl_str_mv | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/25163 |
| instacron_str | ul |
| institution | Universidade de Lisboa |
| instname_str | Universidade de Lisboa |
| language | eng |
| network_acronym_str | ul |
| network_name_str | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:repositorio.ulisboa.pt:10400.5/25163 |
| organization_str_mv | urn:organizationAcronym:ul |
| person_str_mv | Naimi, Babak Capinha, César Ribeiro, Joana Rahbek, Carsten Strubbe, Diederik Reino, Luís Reino, Luís https://www.ciencia-id.pt/AB18-2DB9-F3C6 AB18-2DB9-F3C6 http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9768-1097 0000-0002-9768-1097 Araújo, Miguel B. |
| publishDate | 2022 |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv | Wiley |
| reponame_str | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| repository_id_str | urn:repositoryAcronym:ul |
| service_str_mv | urn:repositoryAcronym:ul |
| spelling | engWileypt_PTHumans have moved species away from their native ranges since the Neolithic, but globalization accelerated the rate at which species are being moved. We fitted more than half million distribution models for 610 traded bird species on the CITES list to examine the separate and joint effects of global climate and land-cover change on their potential end-of- century distributions. We found that climate-induced suitability for modelled invasive species increases with latitude, because traded birds are mainly of tropical origin and much of the temperate region is ‘tropicalizing.’ Conversely, the tropics are becoming more arid, thus limiting the potential from cross-continental invasion by tropical species. This trend is compounded by forest loss around the tropics since most traded birds are forest dwellers. In contrast, net gains in forest area across the temperate region could compound climate change effects and increase the potential for colonization of low-latitude birds. Climate change has always led to regional redistributions of species, but the combination of human transportation, climate, and land-cover changes will likely accelerate the redistribution of species globally, increasing chances of alien species successfully invading non-native lands. Such process of biodiversity homogenization can lead to emergence of non-analogue communities with unknown environmental and socioeconomic consequencesapplication/pdfpt_PTPotential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover changeNaimi, BabakCapinha, CésarRibeiro, JoanaRahbek, CarstenStrubbe, DiederikPersonalReino, LuísDSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/c44ecf81-18aa-4d6e-ae6c-762ac3230671DSpacehttp://dspace.org/items/c44ecf81-18aa-4d6e-ae6c-762ac3230671Nunes Valente Afonso ReinoLuís MiguelCiência IDhttps://www.ciencia-id.ptAB18-2DB9-F3C6ORCIDhttp://orcid.org0000-0002-9768-1097Scopus Author IDhttps://www.scopus.com55893475900Araújo, Miguel B.HostingInstitutionOrganizationalRepositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboae-mailmailto:repositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptrepositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptDOIIsPartOf10.1111/gcb.163102022-08-12T08:38:34Z20222022-01-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/25163http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessbiological invasionsCITESclimate changeland use changetraded birdsrisk analysis12195968 bytesFundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaNot AvailableCEEC IND 2017Crossref Funder IDhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871Fundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaNot AvailableCEEC IND 2017Crossref Funder IDhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871Fundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaSomething in the way they move: how global patterns of wildlife trade influence global invasion success9471 - RIDTICrossref Funder IDhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871Fundação para a Ciência e a TecnologiaCentre of Geographical Studies6817 - DCRRNI IDCrossref Funder IDhttp://doi.org/10.13039/501100001871literaturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501journal article2022http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/fbe5677f-40bb-48fd-af73-236940688082/downloadGlobal Change Biology |
| spellingShingle | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change Naimi, Babak biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| status | SINGLETON |
| subject.fl_str_mv | biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| title | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| title_full | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| title_fullStr | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| title_full_unstemmed | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| title_short | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| title_sort | Potential for invasion of traded birds under climate and land-cover change |
| topic | biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| topic_facet | biological invasions CITES climate change land use change traded birds risk analysis |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/25163 |
| visible | 1 |