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Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis

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Resumo:We compute the value of fiscal multipliers (for government primary expenditure, Income and wealth taxes and for Production and import ones) in the Eurozone countries since the creation of the currency union (2001Q1-2016Q4), and to understand how the values may vary according to the public debt level, the rhythm of economic growth and the output gap. Imposing quarterly fiscal shocks in the period 2000-2016, the results shown that the government expenditure had a positive effect on output, with an annual accumulated multiplier of 0.64 while the tax multipliers presented negative signs - the Income and wealth and the Production and import taxes stood at -0.10 and -0.32, respectively. Furthermore, the multipliers shown higher values for countries with higher levels of public debt (to small levels, the expenditure multiplier is close to zero and the tax multipliers seem to have positive signs), during recessions, and in countries with positive output gaps.
Autores principais:Afonso, António
Outros Autores:Leal, Frederico Silva
Assunto:Fiscal multiplier Structural VAR Fiscal policy
Ano:2018
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:working paper
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
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author Afonso, António
author2 Leal, Frederico Silva
author2_role author
author_facet Afonso, António
Leal, Frederico Silva
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Afonso, António\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Leal, Frederico Silva\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Afonso, António
Leal, Frederico Silva
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2018-08-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-10-01T13:03:15Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2018-10-01T13:03:15Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Fiscal multiplier
Structural VAR
Fiscal policy
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Afonso, António
Leal, Frederico Silva
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2018-08-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2018-10-01T13:03:15Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2018-10-01T13:03:15Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/16028
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv ISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Fiscal multiplier
Structural VAR
Fiscal policy
dc.title.fl_str_mv Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042
description We compute the value of fiscal multipliers (for government primary expenditure, Income and wealth taxes and for Production and import ones) in the Eurozone countries since the creation of the currency union (2001Q1-2016Q4), and to understand how the values may vary according to the public debt level, the rhythm of economic growth and the output gap. Imposing quarterly fiscal shocks in the period 2000-2016, the results shown that the government expenditure had a positive effect on output, with an annual accumulated multiplier of 0.64 while the tax multipliers presented negative signs - the Income and wealth and the Production and import taxes stood at -0.10 and -0.32, respectively. Furthermore, the multipliers shown higher values for countries with higher levels of public debt (to small levels, the expenditure multiplier is close to zero and the tax multipliers seem to have positive signs), during recessions, and in countries with positive output gaps.
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eu_rights_str_mv openAccess
format workingPaper
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id ul_6848c1916dcbc1728cde6d35bf45d7c0
identifier.url.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/16028
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institution Universidade de Lisboa
instname_str Universidade de Lisboa
language eng
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network_name_str Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
oai_identifier_str oai:repositorio.ulisboa.pt:10400.5/16028
organization_str_mv urn:organizationAcronym:ul
person_str_mv Afonso, António
Leal, Frederico Silva
publishDate 2018
publisher.none.fl_str_mv ISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics
reponame_str Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
repository_id_str urn:repositoryAcronym:ul
service_str_mv urn:repositoryAcronym:ul
spelling engISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PTWe compute the value of fiscal multipliers (for government primary expenditure, Income and wealth taxes and for Production and import ones) in the Eurozone countries since the creation of the currency union (2001Q1-2016Q4), and to understand how the values may vary according to the public debt level, the rhythm of economic growth and the output gap. Imposing quarterly fiscal shocks in the period 2000-2016, the results shown that the government expenditure had a positive effect on output, with an annual accumulated multiplier of 0.64 while the tax multipliers presented negative signs - the Income and wealth and the Production and import taxes stood at -0.10 and -0.32, respectively. Furthermore, the multipliers shown higher values for countries with higher levels of public debt (to small levels, the expenditure multiplier is close to zero and the tax multipliers seem to have positive signs), during recessions, and in countries with positive output gaps.application/pdfpt_PTFiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysisAfonso, AntónioLeal, Frederico SilvaHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRepositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboae-mailmailto:repositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptrepositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptISSNIsPartOf2184-108X2018-10-01T13:03:15Z2018-082018-08-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/16028http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessFiscal multiplierStructural VARFiscal policy539489 bytesother research producthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/e746178c-5132-42d1-ba80-6b91751857d4/download
spellingShingle Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
Afonso, António
Fiscal multiplier
Structural VAR
Fiscal policy
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Fiscal multiplier
Structural VAR
Fiscal policy
title Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
title_full Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
title_fullStr Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
title_full_unstemmed Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
title_short Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
title_sort Fiscal multipliers in the Eurozone : a SVAR analysis
topic Fiscal multiplier
Structural VAR
Fiscal policy
topic_facet Fiscal multiplier
Structural VAR
Fiscal policy
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/16028
visible 1