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Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process

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Resumo:For actuarial aplications, we consider the Sparre–Andersen risk model when the interclaim times are Erlang(n) distributed. We first address the problem of solving an integro-differential equation that is satisfied by the survival probability and other probabilities, and show an alternative and improved method to solve such equations to that presented by Li (2008). This is done by considering the roots with positive real parts of the generalized Lundberg’s equation, and establishing a one–one relation between them and the solutions of the integro-differential equation mentioned before. Afterwards, we apply our findings above in the computation of the distribution of the maximum severity of ruin. This computation depends on the non-ruin probability and on the roots of the fundamental Lundberg’s equation. We illustrate and give explicit formulae for Erlang(3) interclaim arrivals with exponentially distributed single claim amounts and Erlang(2) interclaim times with Erlang(2) claim amounts. Finally, considering an interest force, we consider the problem of calculating the expected discounted dividends prior to ruin, finding an integro-differential equation that they satisfy and solving it. Numerical examples are also provided for illustration
Autores principais:Bergel, Agnieszka I.
Outros Autores:Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos
Assunto:Sparre–Andersen Risk Model Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier Maximum Severity of Ruin Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
Ano:2015
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
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author Bergel, Agnieszka I.
author2 Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos
author2_role author
author_facet Bergel, Agnieszka I.
Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Bergel, Agnieszka I.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Bergel, Agnieszka I.
Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2015-01-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-06-01T10:17:23Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2022-06-01T10:17:23Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Sparre–Andersen Risk Model
Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times
Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation
Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier
Maximum Severity of Ruin
Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Bergel, Agnieszka I.
Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2015-01-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-06-01T10:17:23Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2022-06-01T10:17:23Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/24449
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Sparre–Andersen Risk Model
Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times
Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation
Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier
Maximum Severity of Ruin
Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
dc.title.fl_str_mv Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501
description For actuarial aplications, we consider the Sparre–Andersen risk model when the interclaim times are Erlang(n) distributed. We first address the problem of solving an integro-differential equation that is satisfied by the survival probability and other probabilities, and show an alternative and improved method to solve such equations to that presented by Li (2008). This is done by considering the roots with positive real parts of the generalized Lundberg’s equation, and establishing a one–one relation between them and the solutions of the integro-differential equation mentioned before. Afterwards, we apply our findings above in the computation of the distribution of the maximum severity of ruin. This computation depends on the non-ruin probability and on the roots of the fundamental Lundberg’s equation. We illustrate and give explicit formulae for Erlang(3) interclaim arrivals with exponentially distributed single claim amounts and Erlang(2) interclaim times with Erlang(2) claim amounts. Finally, considering an interest force, we consider the problem of calculating the expected discounted dividends prior to ruin, finding an integro-differential equation that they satisfy and solving it. Numerical examples are also provided for illustration
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person_str_mv Bergel, Agnieszka I.
Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dos
publishDate 2015
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Taylor & Francis
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spelling engTaylor & Francispt_PTFor actuarial aplications, we consider the Sparre–Andersen risk model when the interclaim times are Erlang(n) distributed. We first address the problem of solving an integro-differential equation that is satisfied by the survival probability and other probabilities, and show an alternative and improved method to solve such equations to that presented by Li (2008). This is done by considering the roots with positive real parts of the generalized Lundberg’s equation, and establishing a one–one relation between them and the solutions of the integro-differential equation mentioned before. Afterwards, we apply our findings above in the computation of the distribution of the maximum severity of ruin. This computation depends on the non-ruin probability and on the roots of the fundamental Lundberg’s equation. We illustrate and give explicit formulae for Erlang(3) interclaim arrivals with exponentially distributed single claim amounts and Erlang(2) interclaim times with Erlang(2) claim amounts. Finally, considering an interest force, we consider the problem of calculating the expected discounted dividends prior to ruin, finding an integro-differential equation that they satisfy and solving it. Numerical examples are also provided for illustrationapplication/pdfpt_PTFurther developments in the Erlang(n) risk processBergel, Agnieszka I.Reis, Alfredo D. Egídio dosHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRepositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboae-mailmailto:repositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptrepositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.pt2022-06-01T10:17:23Z20152015-01-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/24449http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessSparre–Andersen Risk ModelGeneralized Erlang(n) Interclaim TimesFundamental Lundberg’s EquationProbability of Reaching an Upper BarrierMaximum Severity of RuinExpected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin525929 bytesliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501journal articlehttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/08f85988-4f33-4bf5-82ce-41746ea3fcbe/download
spellingShingle Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
Bergel, Agnieszka I.
Sparre–Andersen Risk Model
Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times
Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation
Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier
Maximum Severity of Ruin
Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Sparre–Andersen Risk Model
Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times
Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation
Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier
Maximum Severity of Ruin
Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
title Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
title_full Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
title_fullStr Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
title_full_unstemmed Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
title_short Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
title_sort Further developments in the Erlang(n) risk process
topic Sparre–Andersen Risk Model
Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times
Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation
Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier
Maximum Severity of Ruin
Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
topic_facet Sparre–Andersen Risk Model
Generalized Erlang(n) Interclaim Times
Fundamental Lundberg’s Equation
Probability of Reaching an Upper Barrier
Maximum Severity of Ruin
Expected Discounted Dividends Prior to Ruin
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/24449
visible 1