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Equity research - Novartis AG

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Resumo:Novartis AG (“Novartis”) is one of the top market players in the pharmaceutical industry, with a 2020 market cap of $215Bn and operations in 155 countries. The company is divided in two segments, Innovative Medicines which includes Gene Therapies and Oncology and Sandoz that focus on generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars. The motivation for choosing this company and industry was because we are in a pandemic (Covid-19) and the world’s attention is focused on the pharmaceutical industrial to produce the vaccine. As it becomes more evident that is one of the most important industries in the world, I was curious to know how these companies operate and what they are doing to overcome the current situation. The main methods used for Novartis valuation were the DCF, APV and Market-Based Valuation Methods. The company has a BUY Recommendation, with a 2022 YE price target of $103,32, representing an upside potential of 21% from the Sep. 10th, 2021, closing price of $85,43, with medium risk. The current share price undervaluation is mainly due to some government-imposed industry-wide price reductions, some restrictions to access healthcare and to patent expiration, what can directly impact the business revenues. In terms of the new trends in the industry, Novartis is already using technology and digitalization across its operations and is working hard to be a global ESG leader. Moreover, the company has a dividend policy to increase the dividend every year, which is possible since the company has a solid CFO YoY. The reference date for this equity research is 2021.
Autores principais:Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
Assunto:Novartis AG Pharmaceutical Industry Medicines Innovative Medicines Sandoz Equity Research Valuation Mergers & Acquisitions Indústria Farmacêutica Medicamentos Medicamentos Inovadores Avaliação de Empresas Fusões e Aquisições
Ano:2021
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa
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author Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
author_facet Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
author_role author
contributor_name_str_mv Vieira, Telmo
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
country_str PT
creators_json_txt [{\"Person.name\":\"Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli\"}]
datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv Vieira, Telmo
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2021-10-01T00:00:00Z
datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-01-30T16:10:28Z
datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2022-01-30T16:10:28Z
datacite.rights.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv Novartis AG
Pharmaceutical Industry
Medicines
Innovative Medicines
Sandoz
Equity Research
Valuation
Mergers & Acquisitions
Indústria Farmacêutica
Medicamentos
Medicamentos Inovadores
Avaliação de Empresas
Fusões e Aquisições
datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv Equity research - Novartis AG
dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv Vieira, Telmo
Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa
dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv 2021-10-01T00:00:00Z
dc.date.available.fl_str_mv 2022-01-30T16:10:28Z
dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv 2022-01-30T16:10:28Z
dc.format.none.fl_str_mv application/pdf
dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/23315
dc.language.none.fl_str_mv eng
dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2
dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv Novartis AG
Pharmaceutical Industry
Medicines
Innovative Medicines
Sandoz
Equity Research
Valuation
Mergers & Acquisitions
Indústria Farmacêutica
Medicamentos
Medicamentos Inovadores
Avaliação de Empresas
Fusões e Aquisições
dc.title.fl_str_mv Equity research - Novartis AG
dc.type.none.fl_str_mv http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdcc
description Novartis AG (“Novartis”) is one of the top market players in the pharmaceutical industry, with a 2020 market cap of $215Bn and operations in 155 countries. The company is divided in two segments, Innovative Medicines which includes Gene Therapies and Oncology and Sandoz that focus on generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars. The motivation for choosing this company and industry was because we are in a pandemic (Covid-19) and the world’s attention is focused on the pharmaceutical industrial to produce the vaccine. As it becomes more evident that is one of the most important industries in the world, I was curious to know how these companies operate and what they are doing to overcome the current situation. The main methods used for Novartis valuation were the DCF, APV and Market-Based Valuation Methods. The company has a BUY Recommendation, with a 2022 YE price target of $103,32, representing an upside potential of 21% from the Sep. 10th, 2021, closing price of $85,43, with medium risk. The current share price undervaluation is mainly due to some government-imposed industry-wide price reductions, some restrictions to access healthcare and to patent expiration, what can directly impact the business revenues. In terms of the new trends in the industry, Novartis is already using technology and digitalization across its operations and is working hard to be a global ESG leader. Moreover, the company has a dividend policy to increase the dividend every year, which is possible since the company has a solid CFO YoY. The reference date for this equity research is 2021.
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id ul_f7ccd66160f99f3e55fc7d0c8a1e8a64
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instname_str Universidade de Lisboa
language eng
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person_str_mv Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
publishDate 2021
publisher.none.fl_str_mv Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão
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spelling engInstituto Superior de Economia e Gestãopt_PTNovartis AG (“Novartis”) is one of the top market players in the pharmaceutical industry, with a 2020 market cap of $215Bn and operations in 155 countries. The company is divided in two segments, Innovative Medicines which includes Gene Therapies and Oncology and Sandoz that focus on generic pharmaceuticals and biosimilars. The motivation for choosing this company and industry was because we are in a pandemic (Covid-19) and the world’s attention is focused on the pharmaceutical industrial to produce the vaccine. As it becomes more evident that is one of the most important industries in the world, I was curious to know how these companies operate and what they are doing to overcome the current situation. The main methods used for Novartis valuation were the DCF, APV and Market-Based Valuation Methods. The company has a BUY Recommendation, with a 2022 YE price target of $103,32, representing an upside potential of 21% from the Sep. 10th, 2021, closing price of $85,43, with medium risk. The current share price undervaluation is mainly due to some government-imposed industry-wide price reductions, some restrictions to access healthcare and to patent expiration, what can directly impact the business revenues. In terms of the new trends in the industry, Novartis is already using technology and digitalization across its operations and is working hard to be a global ESG leader. Moreover, the company has a dividend policy to increase the dividend every year, which is possible since the company has a solid CFO YoY. The reference date for this equity research is 2021.application/pdfpt_PTEquity research - Novartis AGSousa, Bruno Miguel RanalliVieira, TelmoHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRepositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboae-mailmailto:repositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptrepositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.pt2022-01-30T16:10:28Z2021-102021-10-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/23315http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessNovartis AGPharmaceutical IndustryMedicinesInnovative MedicinesSandozEquity ResearchValuationMergers & AcquisitionsIndústria FarmacêuticaMedicamentosMedicamentos InovadoresAvaliação de EmpresasFusões e Aquisições2894746 bytesliteraturehttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_bdccmaster thesishttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/c1715612-3950-4429-86cd-0043bc425dc9/download
spellingShingle Equity research - Novartis AG
Sousa, Bruno Miguel Ranalli
Novartis AG
Pharmaceutical Industry
Medicines
Innovative Medicines
Sandoz
Equity Research
Valuation
Mergers & Acquisitions
Indústria Farmacêutica
Medicamentos
Medicamentos Inovadores
Avaliação de Empresas
Fusões e Aquisições
status SINGLETON
subject.fl_str_mv Novartis AG
Pharmaceutical Industry
Medicines
Innovative Medicines
Sandoz
Equity Research
Valuation
Mergers & Acquisitions
Indústria Farmacêutica
Medicamentos
Medicamentos Inovadores
Avaliação de Empresas
Fusões e Aquisições
title Equity research - Novartis AG
title_full Equity research - Novartis AG
title_fullStr Equity research - Novartis AG
title_full_unstemmed Equity research - Novartis AG
title_short Equity research - Novartis AG
title_sort Equity research - Novartis AG
topic Novartis AG
Pharmaceutical Industry
Medicines
Innovative Medicines
Sandoz
Equity Research
Valuation
Mergers & Acquisitions
Indústria Farmacêutica
Medicamentos
Medicamentos Inovadores
Avaliação de Empresas
Fusões e Aquisições
topic_facet Novartis AG
Pharmaceutical Industry
Medicines
Innovative Medicines
Sandoz
Equity Research
Valuation
Mergers & Acquisitions
Indústria Farmacêutica
Medicamentos
Medicamentos Inovadores
Avaliação de Empresas
Fusões e Aquisições
url http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/23315
visible 1