Publicação
Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period
| Resumo: | Transport investment is frequently advocated as having the double virtue of achieving both economic growth and territorial cohesion. The idea is that improving the accessibility of lagging regions to cities, increases the attractiveness of those regions for people and businesses. However, transport is only one of the factors affecting local development and there is no consensus on its net effect on population growth. The large scale of public funding allocated to motorway investment since the country joined the European Union in 1986 makes Portugal an ideal case study to examine the potential effect of improved road accessibility on the development of lagging rural areas. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between rural population change and road accessibility to the urban hierarchy (i.e. cities of different sizes) between 1991 and 2011. Regression analyses show that rural population growth is negatively associated with road distance and road travel time to the urban hierarchy, notably to medium-sized cities (i.e. 20,000-99,999 inhabitants). This suggests that medium-size cities play an important role in supporting population growth in their rural hinterlands. Robustness tests confirmed the validity of these findings. There is no evidence of nonlinearities in the magnitude of the effect between accessible and remote rural areas, which may be partially related to the relatively small size of the country. |
|---|---|
| Autores principais: | Melo, Patrícia C. |
| Outros Autores: | Rego, Conceição; Anciães, Paulo Rui; Guiomar, Nuno; Muñoz-Rojas, José |
| Assunto: | rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| Ano: | 2021 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | working paper |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade de Lisboa |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| _version_ | 1866811474951798784 |
|---|---|
| author | Melo, Patrícia C. |
| author2 | Rego, Conceição Anciães, Paulo Rui Guiomar, Nuno Muñoz-Rojas, José |
| author2_role | author author author author |
| author_facet | Melo, Patrícia C. Rego, Conceição Anciães, Paulo Rui Guiomar, Nuno Muñoz-Rojas, José |
| author_role | author |
| contributor_name_str_mv | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa |
| country_str | PT |
| creators_json_txt | [{\"Person.name\":\"Melo, Patrícia C.\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Rego, Conceição\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Anciães, Paulo Rui\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Guiomar, Nuno\"},{\"Person.name\":\"Muñoz-Rojas, José\"}] |
| datacite.contributors.contributor.contributorName.fl_str_mv | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa |
| datacite.creators.creator.creatorName.fl_str_mv | Melo, Patrícia C. Rego, Conceição Anciães, Paulo Rui Guiomar, Nuno Muñoz-Rojas, José |
| datacite.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv | 2021-03-01T00:00:00Z |
| datacite.date.available.fl_str_mv | 2021-03-11T17:27:02Z |
| datacite.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv | 2021-03-11T17:27:02Z |
| datacite.rights.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| datacite.subjects.subject.fl_str_mv | rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| datacite.titles.title.fl_str_mv | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| dc.contributor.none.fl_str_mv | Repositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboa |
| dc.creator.none.fl_str_mv | Melo, Patrícia C. Rego, Conceição Anciães, Paulo Rui Guiomar, Nuno Muñoz-Rojas, José |
| dc.date.Accepted.fl_str_mv | 2021-03-01T00:00:00Z |
| dc.date.available.fl_str_mv | 2021-03-11T17:27:02Z |
| dc.date.embargoed.fl_str_mv | 2021-03-11T17:27:02Z |
| dc.format.none.fl_str_mv | application/pdf |
| dc.identifier.none.fl_str_mv | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/21157 |
| dc.language.none.fl_str_mv | eng |
| dc.publisher.none.fl_str_mv | ISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics |
| dc.rights.none.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2 |
| dc.subject.none.fl_str_mv | rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| dc.title.fl_str_mv | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| dc.type.none.fl_str_mv | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042 |
| description | Transport investment is frequently advocated as having the double virtue of achieving both economic growth and territorial cohesion. The idea is that improving the accessibility of lagging regions to cities, increases the attractiveness of those regions for people and businesses. However, transport is only one of the factors affecting local development and there is no consensus on its net effect on population growth. The large scale of public funding allocated to motorway investment since the country joined the European Union in 1986 makes Portugal an ideal case study to examine the potential effect of improved road accessibility on the development of lagging rural areas. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between rural population change and road accessibility to the urban hierarchy (i.e. cities of different sizes) between 1991 and 2011. Regression analyses show that rural population growth is negatively associated with road distance and road travel time to the urban hierarchy, notably to medium-sized cities (i.e. 20,000-99,999 inhabitants). This suggests that medium-size cities play an important role in supporting population growth in their rural hinterlands. Robustness tests confirmed the validity of these findings. There is no evidence of nonlinearities in the magnitude of the effect between accessible and remote rural areas, which may be partially related to the relatively small size of the country. |
| dirty | 0 |
| eu_rights_str_mv | openAccess |
| format | workingPaper |
| fulltext.url.fl_str_mv | https://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/eef9dae1-44d2-4b37-97cb-3f9bd3be4a1d/download |
| id | ul_fcc46ff3cd7eebae2c8bf473319bb653 |
| identifier.url.fl_str_mv | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/21157 |
| instacron_str | ul |
| institution | Universidade de Lisboa |
| instname_str | Universidade de Lisboa |
| language | eng |
| network_acronym_str | ul |
| network_name_str | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| oai_identifier_str | oai:repositorio.ulisboa.pt:10400.5/21157 |
| organization_str_mv | urn:organizationAcronym:ul |
| person_str_mv | Melo, Patrícia C. Rego, Conceição Anciães, Paulo Rui Guiomar, Nuno Muñoz-Rojas, José |
| publishDate | 2021 |
| publisher.none.fl_str_mv | ISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematics |
| reponame_str | Repositório da Universidade de Lisboa |
| repository_id_str | urn:repositoryAcronym:ul |
| service_str_mv | urn:repositoryAcronym:ul |
| spelling | engISEG - REM - Research in Economics and Mathematicspt_PTTransport investment is frequently advocated as having the double virtue of achieving both economic growth and territorial cohesion. The idea is that improving the accessibility of lagging regions to cities, increases the attractiveness of those regions for people and businesses. However, transport is only one of the factors affecting local development and there is no consensus on its net effect on population growth. The large scale of public funding allocated to motorway investment since the country joined the European Union in 1986 makes Portugal an ideal case study to examine the potential effect of improved road accessibility on the development of lagging rural areas. In this paper, we investigate the relationship between rural population change and road accessibility to the urban hierarchy (i.e. cities of different sizes) between 1991 and 2011. Regression analyses show that rural population growth is negatively associated with road distance and road travel time to the urban hierarchy, notably to medium-sized cities (i.e. 20,000-99,999 inhabitants). This suggests that medium-size cities play an important role in supporting population growth in their rural hinterlands. Robustness tests confirmed the validity of these findings. There is no evidence of nonlinearities in the magnitude of the effect between accessible and remote rural areas, which may be partially related to the relatively small size of the country.application/pdfpt_PTDoes road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 periodMelo, Patrícia C.Rego, ConceiçãoAnciães, Paulo RuiGuiomar, NunoMuñoz-Rojas, JoséHostingInstitutionOrganizationalRepositório Científico de Acesso Aberto da ULisboae-mailmailto:repositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptrepositorio@reitoria.ulisboa.ptISSNIsPartOf2184-108X2021-03-11T17:27:02Z2021-032021-03-01T00:00:00ZHandlehttp://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/21157http://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2open accessrural areaspopulation changeroad accessibilityrural-urban linkagesspillover effects2859632 bytesother research producthttp://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_8042working paperhttp://purl.org/coar/access_right/c_abf2application/pdffulltexthttps://repositorio.ulisboa.pt/bitstreams/eef9dae1-44d2-4b37-97cb-3f9bd3be4a1d/download |
| spellingShingle | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period Melo, Patrícia C. rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| status | SINGLETON |
| subject.fl_str_mv | rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| title | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| title_full | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| title_fullStr | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| title_full_unstemmed | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| title_short | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| title_sort | Does road accessibility to cities support rural population growth? Evidence for Portugal for the 1991-2011 period |
| topic | rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| topic_facet | rural areas population change road accessibility rural-urban linkages spillover effects |
| url | http://hdl.handle.net/10400.5/21157 |
| visible | 1 |