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Reconstruction of meteorological records with PCA-based analog ensemble methods

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:The Analog Ensemble (AnEn) method has been used to reconstruct missing data in time series with base on other correlated time series with full data. As the AnEn method benefits from the use of large volumes of data, there is a great interest in improving its efficiency. In this paper, the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) technique is combined with the classical AnEn method and a K-means cluster-based variant, within the context of reconstructing missing meteorological data at a particular station using information from neighboring stations. This combination allows to reduce the dimension of the number of predictor time series, while ensuring better accuracy and higher computational performance than the AnEn methods: it reduces prediction errors by up to 30% and achieves a computational speedup of up to 2x.
Autores principais:Breve, Murilo M.
Outros Autores:Balsa, Carlos; Rufino, José
Assunto:Meteorological data reconstruction Analogue ensemble K-means clustering Principal component analysis MATLAB R
Ano:2024
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:comunicação em conferência
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Instituto Politécnico de Bragança
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Biblioteca Digital do IPB
Descrição
Resumo:The Analog Ensemble (AnEn) method has been used to reconstruct missing data in time series with base on other correlated time series with full data. As the AnEn method benefits from the use of large volumes of data, there is a great interest in improving its efficiency. In this paper, the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) technique is combined with the classical AnEn method and a K-means cluster-based variant, within the context of reconstructing missing meteorological data at a particular station using information from neighboring stations. This combination allows to reduce the dimension of the number of predictor time series, while ensuring better accuracy and higher computational performance than the AnEn methods: it reduces prediction errors by up to 30% and achieves a computational speedup of up to 2x.

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