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Weighted maximum likelihood estimation for individual growth models

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:We apply a class of stochastic differential equations to model individual growth in a randomly fluctuating environment using cattle weight data. We have used maximum likelihood theory to estimate the parameters. However, for cattle data, it is often not feasible to obtain animal's observations at equally spaced ages nor even at the same ages for different animals and there is typically a small number of observations at older ages. For these reasons, maximum likelihood estimates can be quite inaccurate, being interesting to consider in the likelihood function a weight function associated to the elapsed times between two consecutive observations of each animal, which results in the weighted maximum likelihood method. We compare the results obtained from both methods in several data structures and conclude that the weighted maximum likelihood improves the estimation when observations at older ages are scarce and the observation instants are unequally spaced, whereas the maximum likelihood estimates are recommended when animals are weighted at equally spaced ages. For unequally spaced observations, a bootstrap estimation method was also applied to correct the bias of the maximum likelihood estimates; it revealed to be a more precise alternative, except when the available data only has young animals.
Autores principais:Jacinto, G.
Outros Autores:Filipe, P. A.; Braumann, C. A.
Assunto:Bootstrap estimation Cattle growth Stochastic differential equations Weighted maximum likelihood estimation
Ano:2022
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:ISCTE
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório ISCTE
Descrição
Resumo:We apply a class of stochastic differential equations to model individual growth in a randomly fluctuating environment using cattle weight data. We have used maximum likelihood theory to estimate the parameters. However, for cattle data, it is often not feasible to obtain animal's observations at equally spaced ages nor even at the same ages for different animals and there is typically a small number of observations at older ages. For these reasons, maximum likelihood estimates can be quite inaccurate, being interesting to consider in the likelihood function a weight function associated to the elapsed times between two consecutive observations of each animal, which results in the weighted maximum likelihood method. We compare the results obtained from both methods in several data structures and conclude that the weighted maximum likelihood improves the estimation when observations at older ages are scarce and the observation instants are unequally spaced, whereas the maximum likelihood estimates are recommended when animals are weighted at equally spaced ages. For unequally spaced observations, a bootstrap estimation method was also applied to correct the bias of the maximum likelihood estimates; it revealed to be a more precise alternative, except when the available data only has young animals.