Publicação
Asymmetric regional dynamics: from bust to recovery
| Resumo: | Regional convergence stands out in the severe adjustment of the Portuguese economy that followed the international fi nancial crisis.This result contrasts with increasing regional inequality in other European countries. We show that regions' GDP growth rates of the Portuguese economy were driven by debt and exports. Our estimates suggest that differences in regional debt-to-GDP and exports-to-GDP ratios resulted in asymmetric regional economic dynamics. Highly indebted regions had a more severe recession and aslower recovery. Regions more open to trade had a milder recession and a stronger recovery. Finally, our results suggest that fiscal decentralization may improve regions' resilience. |
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| Autores principais: | Alexandre, Fernando |
| Outros Autores: | Costa, Hélder; Portela, Miguel; Rodrigues, Miguel Ângelo Vilela |
| Assunto: | Regional development Economic convergence Debt Exports Local government Fiscal decentralization Resilience International financial crisis Eurozone crisis |
| Ano: | 2018 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | working paper |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade do Minho |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho |
| Resumo: | Regional convergence stands out in the severe adjustment of the Portuguese economy that followed the international fi nancial crisis.This result contrasts with increasing regional inequality in other European countries. We show that regions' GDP growth rates of the Portuguese economy were driven by debt and exports. Our estimates suggest that differences in regional debt-to-GDP and exports-to-GDP ratios resulted in asymmetric regional economic dynamics. Highly indebted regions had a more severe recession and aslower recovery. Regions more open to trade had a milder recession and a stronger recovery. Finally, our results suggest that fiscal decentralization may improve regions' resilience. |
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