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Wealth-to-income ratio and stock returns : evidence from the Euro Area

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:I find that when the ratio of asset wealth to human wealth falls, investors become more exposed to labour income shocks and demand a higher risk premium for stocks. I show that the residuals of the trend relationship among wealth and labour income, wy, predict future stock returns in the Euro Area. The results are robust to additional control variables and show the superiority of wy vis-a-vis other benchmark models.
Autores principais:Sousa, Ricardo M.
Assunto:Wealth Labour income Stock returns Euro Area
Ano:2012
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:artigo
Tipo de acesso:acesso restrito
Instituição associada:Universidade do Minho
Idioma:inglês
Origem:RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho
Descrição
Resumo:I find that when the ratio of asset wealth to human wealth falls, investors become more exposed to labour income shocks and demand a higher risk premium for stocks. I show that the residuals of the trend relationship among wealth and labour income, wy, predict future stock returns in the Euro Area. The results are robust to additional control variables and show the superiority of wy vis-a-vis other benchmark models.