Publicação
The Portuguese real exchange rate, 1995-2010 : competitiveness or price effects?
| Resumo: | We disentangle the extent to which the real exchange rate appreciation in Por- tugal during 1995-2010 re ected the emergence of wage-productivity misalignments or, instead, changes in the relative price of tradable and non-tradable goods. The available data suggests that the latter e ect dominated at the aggregate level. The evidence is consistent with the view that the external imbalance that character- ized the Portuguese economy during the 1990s and early 2000s was triggered by the liberalization of capital ows, and not by dysfunctional wage setting institu- tions. Using the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate approach, we nd that recent oil price shocks played an important role in explaining the real exchange rate overvaluation in Portugal. |
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| Autores principais: | Freitas, Miguel Lebre de |
| Outros Autores: | Castro, Miguel de Faria e |
| Assunto: | Real exchange rate FERER Unit labor costs |
| Ano: | 2014 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | working paper |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade do Minho |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho |
| Resumo: | We disentangle the extent to which the real exchange rate appreciation in Por- tugal during 1995-2010 re ected the emergence of wage-productivity misalignments or, instead, changes in the relative price of tradable and non-tradable goods. The available data suggests that the latter e ect dominated at the aggregate level. The evidence is consistent with the view that the external imbalance that character- ized the Portuguese economy during the 1990s and early 2000s was triggered by the liberalization of capital ows, and not by dysfunctional wage setting institu- tions. Using the Fundamental Equilibrium Exchange Rate approach, we nd that recent oil price shocks played an important role in explaining the real exchange rate overvaluation in Portugal. |
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