Publicação
The wind of change? An econometric analysis of Donald Trump’s success
| Resumo: | Donald Trump’s nomination for office in the 2016 Presidential Election sounded alarms throughout the world. Contradicting numerous polls that painted the Election with a blue victory, the nominee managed to significantly redefine the political characterization of a “successful nationalist”. Employing a dual candidate analysis that magnified the scope of the pre-existing literature on the GOP nominee victory, I find that although Trump must be congratulated for preserving the Republican electorate from the previous Presidential Election, Clinton’s defeat surpassed Trump’s success on the ballot. Clinton’s triumph amongst the female population and Trump’s racial resentment suggest that “identity politics” played a major role in this Election. A closer examination to the Republican nominee’s campaign legitimized Trump as a strong and strategic candidate, defying the popular linear understandings of an unprepared and unexperienced Republican nominee. As such, the importance of questioning Clinton as the right choice for the Democratic Party surpasses the scrutiny of Trump’s electoral success. |
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| Autores principais: | Costa, Luís Miguel Moura |
| Assunto: | 2016 Presidential election Donald J. Trump Hillary B. Clinton Political strategy Nationalism Eleição Presidencial de 2016 Estratégia política Nacionalismo Ciências Sociais::Economia e Gestão |
| Ano: | 2018 |
| País: | Portugal |
| Tipo de documento: | dissertação de mestrado |
| Tipo de acesso: | acesso aberto |
| Instituição associada: | Universidade do Minho |
| Idioma: | inglês |
| Origem: | RepositóriUM - Universidade do Minho |
| Resumo: | Donald Trump’s nomination for office in the 2016 Presidential Election sounded alarms throughout the world. Contradicting numerous polls that painted the Election with a blue victory, the nominee managed to significantly redefine the political characterization of a “successful nationalist”. Employing a dual candidate analysis that magnified the scope of the pre-existing literature on the GOP nominee victory, I find that although Trump must be congratulated for preserving the Republican electorate from the previous Presidential Election, Clinton’s defeat surpassed Trump’s success on the ballot. Clinton’s triumph amongst the female population and Trump’s racial resentment suggest that “identity politics” played a major role in this Election. A closer examination to the Republican nominee’s campaign legitimized Trump as a strong and strategic candidate, defying the popular linear understandings of an unprepared and unexperienced Republican nominee. As such, the importance of questioning Clinton as the right choice for the Democratic Party surpasses the scrutiny of Trump’s electoral success. |
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