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Performing a Space-Time Analysis to understand drug consumption trough hospital releases and national budget expenses at municipalities level in Mexico

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:Mexico is internationally recognized for its delicious food, vibrant culture, and its historical problem with drug trafficking, something well known also by Mexican politicians and other decision makers. That's why understanding how the drugs market distributes over the country is key to define how the intelligence, military, and public resources will be rearranged, when necessary, therefore this project proposes an approach that will help develop said understanding trough a Spatial analysis on Public Health and the relation to its economy. The objective of this paper is to confirm a significant Spatial Autocorrelation of the Releases from Hospitals and Deaths related to drug consumption and also for the Federal Budget Expenses in the whole Mexican territory at a municipality scale from 2010 to 2020, and to validate if these variables are linearly correlated. Based on the previous statement Geographic Information System tools are used to confirm Global and Local Spatial Autocorrelation, using Local Moran's Index to identify relevant clusters in Space and Time and employing Spearman’s rank to measure the correlation between variables. The research resulted in the detection and classification of significant clusters and priority states in Space and Time that works as a guide for further targeted actions according to cluster’s characteristics regarding the variables of interest. Also, the Spearman's rank showed no lineal correlation between the studied variables at different levels, what calls out on the actual dismiss of the Drug Abuse records when using and distributing the Federal Budget, an issue that, if not addressed, can perpetuate the drug presence in their localities.
Autores principais:Juarez, Edgardo Arellano
Assunto:Drugs Federal Budget Spatial Autocorrelation Mexico Spearman Correlation Space-Time Cube
Ano:2023
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
Descrição
Resumo:Mexico is internationally recognized for its delicious food, vibrant culture, and its historical problem with drug trafficking, something well known also by Mexican politicians and other decision makers. That's why understanding how the drugs market distributes over the country is key to define how the intelligence, military, and public resources will be rearranged, when necessary, therefore this project proposes an approach that will help develop said understanding trough a Spatial analysis on Public Health and the relation to its economy. The objective of this paper is to confirm a significant Spatial Autocorrelation of the Releases from Hospitals and Deaths related to drug consumption and also for the Federal Budget Expenses in the whole Mexican territory at a municipality scale from 2010 to 2020, and to validate if these variables are linearly correlated. Based on the previous statement Geographic Information System tools are used to confirm Global and Local Spatial Autocorrelation, using Local Moran's Index to identify relevant clusters in Space and Time and employing Spearman’s rank to measure the correlation between variables. The research resulted in the detection and classification of significant clusters and priority states in Space and Time that works as a guide for further targeted actions according to cluster’s characteristics regarding the variables of interest. Also, the Spearman's rank showed no lineal correlation between the studied variables at different levels, what calls out on the actual dismiss of the Drug Abuse records when using and distributing the Federal Budget, an issue that, if not addressed, can perpetuate the drug presence in their localities.