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Algorithmic trading with cryptocurrencies - what is the optimal modelling design for bitcoin price and trend prediction

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Detalhes bibliográficos
Resumo:Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has gained popularity and importance in financial markets. The Bitcoin price is highly volatile entailing high risk and chances of high returns for traders. This work is part of a work project that defines a holistic approach to build an intraday Bitcoin trading algorithm based on predictive analysis of ML models. In this work, the results show that LSTM yields the best prediction performance for Bitcoin price prediction. GRU, LSTM and RNN demonstrate the best performance for Bitcoin trend prediction in 1h, 2h and 3h,respectively.
Autores principais:Nolden, Jannik
Assunto:Forecasting Machine learning Business analytics Cryptocurrency Bitcoin Deep learning Price prediction Algorithmic trading Time-series forecasting
Ano:2022
País:Portugal
Tipo de documento:dissertação de mestrado
Tipo de acesso:acesso aberto
Instituição associada:Universidade Nova de Lisboa
Idioma:inglês
Origem:Repositório Institucional da UNL
Descrição
Resumo:Since its inception in 2009, Bitcoin has gained popularity and importance in financial markets. The Bitcoin price is highly volatile entailing high risk and chances of high returns for traders. This work is part of a work project that defines a holistic approach to build an intraday Bitcoin trading algorithm based on predictive analysis of ML models. In this work, the results show that LSTM yields the best prediction performance for Bitcoin price prediction. GRU, LSTM and RNN demonstrate the best performance for Bitcoin trend prediction in 1h, 2h and 3h,respectively.